I think tqat the real problem is that bandwaqon fans see us in SI and have delusions of grandeur...
I agree with you, Doc. One assumption that a new fan might make is that if Ohio is ranked #25, they have talent comparable to other top 25 teams. If you start with that assumption, then you reach some interesting conclusions. You could conclude that Ohio should dominate all bad teams, that Ohio should be able to execute every play at a high level, and that Ohio should have enough depth to replace those that get hurt. Is that a valid assumption? Are those valid conclusions?
As some have pointed out, Ohio's recruiting classes of the past have moved up in recent years, but are still average for the MAC, while the older classes (say, 2005-2008) were mostly below average. If Ohio has average incoming talent incoming talent, would any of the conclusions above be true? To me, Ohio is competitive because the players have worked harder than the players at other schools, and because the coaches know and understand what they have to work with, and have systems in place to work with that level of talent. The result is that they win a lot more than the lose, now, and are generally in the top of the MAC.
If one starts with the assumption that Ohio has Top 25 level talent, then if they end up third in the MAC East, that's a poor coaching performance, and poor effort by the players, even with 15 players out. If one starts with the assumption that the raw talent is average for the MAC, and with 15 players out, lower than average for the MAC, then ending in the top half, and getting a bowl bid is a pretty reasonable accomplishment. Further, if they beat Kent, and win a bowl, 10 wins is very good, considering the hurdles they had to overcome.
I'm sure everyone has their own measures of how good a job a coach is doing. Mine is pretty simple. I compare how the teams actually end up with quality of their recruiting classes. On average the two should be equal, and mathematically it has to be true that for every coach whose teams do better than the incoming recruit quality there is some other coach whose team does worse than the recruit quality. Thus, to me, a coach like Mack Brown, at Texas, who always has Top 5 recruiting classes, but who almost never has a team finish in the Top 5, is not doing that great of a job.
By contrast, Solich does OK, because his teams are consistently higher rated than the incoming recruits were. I happen to think that the recruiting services under-rate Ohio's classes but, working with what we have, the core of this year's team is the recruiting classes from 2008-2010 (Redshirt-Sophomores to Seniors). According to Scout.com those Ohio classes ranked 118, 96, 105, an average of 106. According to Rivals, those classes ranked 119, 83, 90, an average of 96. Even if I'm right, and those are low, the fact that before the injury bug bit, the team was playing at a close to Top 25 level is pretty remarkable.
Now that they have worked this hard, and now that the coaches have these systems in place, do I expect them to play better than they did the last 5-6 games? Absolutely. I expect them to play to their potential, a potential that is higher now than when they came in as recruits. I trust that they can re-group, and play better against Kent, and in a bowl. Those will both be difficult games, and Ohio will be an underdog, but I'm not ready to concede.