The healthy defense wasn't going to allow 10/game.
No, they weren't. My point was that the BAD defensive performance of the first two-thirds breakdown follows) of the year didn't bite us in the ass because the offense overcame the defensive deficiencies. The defense DID play good in 3 of 4 games to close out the season, but the offense (of special teams) cost us two of those games, and we beat EMU. The thread topic was "has the offense been improving", and it is my contention that it was the offense, not the defense, that got us past UMASS, Buffalo, and maybe Akron. BostonBobcat is correct in saying that we performed well against Marshall (my memory was skewed by how quickly they scored their first 14 poitns).
2012 defensive performance (FCS opponents excluded in "relative result", but included in quantitative)
(How their offense
performed against us) (Their score relative to mean Points/game (PPG))
Opponent Relative Result Appearance of quantitative certainity Qualitive
Penn State
Lowest score of season Held under PPG by 15.1pts
GOOD
NMSU 2nd
HIGHEST score of season Exceeded PPG by 6.2pts Bad
Marshall 2nd Lowest score of season Held under PPG by 16.9pts
GOOD
UMASS
Highest score of season Exceeded PPG by 21.3pts
BAD
Buffalo
Highest score of season Exceeded PPG by 9.7pts
BAD
Akron 3rd highest score of season Exceeded PPG by 2.9pts Sure isn't good
Fiami Median score of season Held under PPG by 0.3pts Good enough
EMU T-4th lowest score of season Held under PPG by 7.3pts Good
BG T-2nd highest score of season (only) Exceeded PPG by 2.8pts Pretty good
(but
punting) (with the punting woes) considering punting
Ball State Highest score of season Exceeded PPG by 17
BAD BAD BAD
Kent State 2nd
LOWEST score of season Held under PPG by 6.4pts
REALLY GOOD
(even with their D scoring 2 of those) (under PPG by 20.4 without 2 defensive TDs
(And I really do hope that looks good. I'm afraid that my "table" will just be a mess when I hit submit)
So whats it all mean? The defense (AND the offense) played well against Penn State and Marshall. Likewise, both sids of the ball crapped the bed statistically speaking against Ball State. The offense played so well against NMSU that it didn't really matter what the D did. But look at those numbers from UMASS and Buffalo! With the offense of 2005-2010, we lose those games.
I feel like I've wandered away from whatever my original point was, so I'll conclude. Before the Miami game, the D didn't impress me, though it must be stressed that they played very well against Penn State and Marshall. After the Miami game the defense played pretty good, excepting Ball State whichdidn't really get out of hand until after Neal Huyun and Carl Jones were lost.