Here are
Ratings for 2012 College Football games.
The MAC games that I see are:
9/1/ Ohio v. Penn State 2.4 (3.5M)
ESPN
9/1 Bowling Green v. Florida 1.8 (2.8M)
ESPN
11/6 Ball State v. Toledo .4 (570k)
ESPN2
11/7 BGSU v. Ohio .5 (719k)
ESPN2
11/14 Toledo v. NIU .4 (557k)
ESPN2
11/14 Ohio v. Ball State .2 (281k)
ESPNU
11/20 Akron v. Toledo .4 (542k)
ESPN2
11/23 Ohio v Kent .1 (153k)
ESPNU
11/30 NIU v. Kent .9 (1.3M)
ESPN2
The sad truth is that, with the exception of the Ohio-Penn State game and the BG-Florida game, plus maybe the MAC Championship, these ratings are not going to going to make ESPN want to pay more than the current deal.
On another note, the attendance data show above shows that attendance tracks winning percentage. There was a pop in attendance the first year under Solich, caused by the hype of his hire, and by the Pitt game sellout, but after that it tracked winning percentage. It slipped during the struggles of 2007-2008, but once the team became a steady winner, starting in 2009, attendance has been climbing. Average attendance:
2005 (4-7) - 18,033 (was 16,406 not including Pitt game)
2006 (9-5) - 16,724
2007 (6-6) - 16,500
2008 (4-8) - 15,276
2009 (9-5) - 17,947
2010 (8-5) - 19,046
2011 (10-4) - 19,891
2012 (9-4) - 21,844
For those 6 mid week games, .2% of the people in America tuned in. What advertiser in their right mind would pay for that kind of viewership?
Well, you can bet ESPN is charging them more than $1M per year so I guess the answer is plenty. Finding a DVR-proof audience is getting harder and harder which is why sports programming is becoming more valuable.
A couple comments here seem a bit off-track, so let me try to do some edjumacatin'.
I added some relevant info back to the ratings numbers above -- which network they aired on, which makes a big difference in what would be considered "good," given that expectations for each are very different. For the year, ESPN (mothership) average 24-hour rating is 0.9, has been for a couple years. Obviously, prime and weekends are higher, overnight and daytime are lower. 2.4 and 1.8 for those two games then, obviously, are bringing that up. Lets compare to the critically acclaimed and very well received
30 for 30 series. The highest-rated
ever premier as of January (You Don't Know Bo) pulled a 2.6. Pretty sure the football was much cheaper to put on the air, too (
source).
ESPN2 (having to go back a couple years here, to 2010) averages a 0.276 over 24-hours -- again, .4, .5, .9 are pretty good numbers there. They don't break out ESPNU individually in this release, but based on the numbers in it, U, NEWS, Deportes, and Classic all combined average .126 over 24-hour ratings. .1 and .2 on U certainly are decent numbers (
source).
No, the MAC's ratings aren't going to compete with the Big Ten or SEC marquee games. They don't have to. The fact is, live sports makes people stop surfing, and even two no-name FBS teams will typically rate better than a reair of World's Strongest Man or episode of Baseball Tonight. Live games also don't get DVRed and deliver a maximal live audience, which is helpful with how ratings are currently calculated.
As far as .2% tuning in and advertisers in their right mind... well, .2% is a lot better than many networks see over the course of their day. Why would anybody in their right mind advertise on VH1, Travel, The Weather Channel, Headline News, CMT, CNBC, NFL Network, MTV2, NBC Sports Network, BBC America, Fox Business News, or MLB Network? All averaged .2 or lower in 2012 -- half their programming viewership was
WORSE than .2% of the country (
source)! We aren't in the three network era anymore, where 30% of the population tunes in to watch... well, anything. The video business is all about niche these days, and delivering the viewers advertisers want. ESPN delivers young men better than anybody, and there are a lot of advertisers who want to buy them. Most advertisers would prefer to buy .2% of the country, specifically targeted, than waste money advertising tampons to 10% of the country, half of whom aren't going to buy, ever.
If the MAC can fill those weekday slots and rate better than what the games replace, that has value. We (MAC) signed our deal just as the market really started to pick up, and would be wise to try to get some more out of it. Ted also has a good point that ESPN may wish to keep the rights, even for a few more bucks, to warehouse them. Throw some games on 3 to make incremental revenue, and keep them off NBC/Fox/CBS.
Disclaimer: All these views are mine, not my employer's, etc. etc., and all the info above is available publicly (and sourced).
Last Edited: 5/9/2013 12:50:03 PM by anorris