The numbers have us beating Louisville?!
I am feeling great about this game, but I am not as unbiased as a computer.
Remember, computers have the same biases as their programmers.
I'm a bit suspicious, too, because they have the game on 8/31 instead of 9/1, even though it had been moved weeks before the numbers were crunched (8/16).
All that said, I like our chances, too. I give us about a 40% chance of winning, which is pretty good against a team coming off an 11-2 season, a win over Florida in the Sugar Bowl and a genuine Heisman candidate. I'm hoping the Heisman and national championship talk has more affect on them than being underrated in some of the rankings -- they're at least top 10 but some have them as low at 16. It should be a good game, and if we're within eight points after three quarters, we can take them.