Why assume he'll jump? Sounds he could have gone p5 out of hs.
In this new portal world, I don't think anyone knows the best path for a player to achieve the most money yet. A 4-5 star guy, good enough to get PT in his first year at a P5 will get NIL money straight out of HS, and should obviously go to a P5. What about a high 3-star guy? Is he better off going straight to P5 (with little immediate NIL), and working up the ladder conventionally, perhaps working up to PT as a Sophomore or Junior? Or will he be better off starting at a G5 with a good coaching staff, where he can develop fast, get PT as a Freshman, become a starter as a Sophomore or Junior, then jump to a P5 with a substantial NIL deal?
The other thing pushing a player like Mathis towards Ohio is that the P5 schools have been loading up their rosters with transfers up from G5, and that crowds out their ability to offer 3-star players. The P5 is trying to put and end to that issue by upping their roster size so that they can have both, still able to offer as many 3-star players as ever, and simultaneously able to snatch up the best G5 players from the portal.
In time we will see how this all sorts out. Ohio's coaching staff has a good reputation for player development, so I expect they they can tempt some good players with the idea of playing for a year or two, and then hitting the portal, but the expanding P5 rosters may limit that. We shall see, but so far, this staff seems to be doing an exceptional job of adapting to constantly changing circumstances. Still, the system may eventually evolve beyond anything they can adapt to. If P5 is forced to add a paycheck for their players, while G5 is unable to afford to pay players, that will put an end to the current football world as we know it.
Last Edited: 8/12/2024 7:37:42 AM by L.C.