The
consensus has BG winning, and then a virtual tie between Akron-Ohio-Buffalo for 2-4. Ohio is clearly not the favorite, but they do have a couple things going for them:
1. Ohio will have a very good defense, and as has been said, defense wins championships. In the past nine years, Ohio's offensive performance is not correlated in any way to how well they have done, but their finish in the standings has been strongly related to how good the defense was. In the years that Ohio won the MAC East, they always had a good defense, but only in 2011 did they also have a good offense.
2. Look at the schedule, and what do you see? In games between the projected top 4 in the East:
Ohio - has home games against Akron, BG, and Buffalo
BG - gets only Buffalo at home, playing Ohio and Akron on the road
Akron - gets only BG at home, playing Ohio and Buffalo on the road
Buffalo - gets only Akron at home, playing Ohio and BG on the road