This is one of four road games, (Syracuse, Kentucky, Miami, Toledo) that I didn't give us much chance to win before the season. While I feel slightly better about it knoe than I did then, I'm not feeling great. My guess is that Miami hitting the gas at the end against EMU and Ohio letting off of it against CMU changed the line on this week's game pretty substantially. My guess is Miami -7.

Buffalo is favored by 1.5 at home which means WMU is probably considered to be the better team.

Ohio beats Miami
CMU upsets EMU
Kent upsets BG
Toledo loses to NIU
Ball St loses to Vandy



I have no idea why I put Kent for the win but BG has regressed and offensive output has not been the same (Fannin Jr still unstoppable).

I'll put my bet on 90-60. Each defense in the stands cheering the offensive teams aye? 🤣

There is so much parity are the top of the MAC. I'm sure this week will help clear things up a little bit. To my surprise, Ohio actually has the best odds in the MAC futures. Like I said, a 4 or 5 way tie is well within a possibilty.

Using Draft Kings
Ohio +350
Toledo +450
NIU +450
BGSU +500
Buffalo +650
WMU +700
Miami +800
EMU +2500
CMU +4000
Ball St. +25000
Akron +50000
Kent St. +50000

This is all the sites:
https://www.vegasinsider.com/college-football/odds/mac-ch... /

This projection of possibilities from Kelly Ford at kfordratings.com doesn't match the futures that well but demonstrates a possible mess.

And, of course, I need to show teamrankings.com projection which also has 7 teams between 5.1 and 5.8 conference wins.
https://www.teamrankings.com/ncf/projections/standings /

It is maybe the least favorable to Ohio (10% MACC) but no team has a greater than 19% chance to win the MAC. Halfway through the season that's an outlier. ACC has Miami at only 38%. Iowa St. and JMU lead the Big XII and Sunbelt odds at 41%.

Right there with you. Need NIU to win that one.

CMU has already come back some too. But I suspect CMU is the 4th worst team. I think we caught a break playing all of Kent St., Akron, Ball State, and CMU. There might not be a ton of separation in the rest of the MAC.

The results:

MOFO 30--OHIO 20
EMU 38--CMU 34
BG 27--Kent 6
WMU 48--Buffalo 41
Toledo 13--NIU 6
Vandy 24--BSU 14