LC, could some of this analysis be tainted by other factors beyond just scheme? For example, I don't think anyone would question that the 2011 team was the most talent we've had offensively. Regardless of scheme, they would have put up great numbers.
Well, 2005-2007 had McRae as RB, and he had some talent, too. I think it also matters who is on the offensive line. In any case, here are the numbers on a year by year basis for avg yards/carry by running backs, and stats for any individual back with over 50 carries:
2005 5.13 (McRae 5.5)
--->switched to zone blocking here
2006 4.44 (McRae 4.9)
2007 4.79 (McRae 4.9)
2008 4.60 (Garrett 4.5, Harden 5.2)
2009 4.10 (Garrett 4.2, Davidson 3.9, Harden 3.9)
2010 4.32 (Davidson 3.9, Harden 4.8)
--->switched to pistol here
2011 4.89 (Harden 5.3, Blankenship 5.0, Boykin 4.1)
2012 5.40 (Blankenship 5.1, Boykin 6.0)
2013 4.33 (Blankenship 4.5, Boykin 3.9)
2014 4.34 (OUellette 4.9, Patterson 4.0)
2014, last three games 5.01 (OUellett 5.3)
Now let's look at the offensive lines by year:
2005 - Coppage, Johnson, Knabb, Miller, Wesley, a great group, but about halfway through Johnson, Knabb, and Miller were hurt, if I recall.
2006 - Coppage,Johnson/Eynon,Knabb,Miller,Shelby - Johnson hurt after 3 games
2007 - Leuck, Eynon, Stuck/White, Miller, Shelby - Stuck lost to off-the-field issues
2008 - Leuck, Eynon, Stuck/White, Philibin, Rodgers/Bunner
2009 - Rodgers, Laudermilch/Carlotta/Strum,White, Flowers/Pinder/Herman, Bunner/Flading - Extensive injuries at LG, RG, and RT, ended up a very young line of Strum/Herman/Flading, setting stage for next few years
2010 - Strum/McGrath, Carlotta/Lechner, Allen, Herman, Flading - More injuries, and still young
2011 - Strum/Prior, Carlotta/Lechner, Allen/Bales, Herman, Flading/McGrath - entire line returned
2012 - Prior, Carlotta/Lechner, Allen/Bales, Herman/Johnson, McGrath/Dietz - season ending injuries for Carlotta, Johnson, McGrath, but a veteran group
2013 - Prior/McQueen, Lechner/Everhart/Lucas, Powell, Johnson/Gibbons/Wood, McGrath/Watson - virtually the entire line was hurt, and it was a new lineup each week, and lots of young faces
2014 - McQueen/Lowery, Lucas/Langenkamp, Powell, Pruehs, Watson/McCray - A very young group, actually younger than 2009, setting the stage for the next few years
Combined you see some interesting things:
1. The 2009 offensive line was clearly worse than 2008 as all the backs dropped in production. (Fortunately 2009 had a great defense.) The reason was all the injuries, however the result was a very young line that set the stage for the next few years.
2. The very young group at the end of 2009, Strum, Carlotta, Herman, and Flading went 4.1, 4.32, 4.89 over the next three years. Part of the jump in 2011 was due to that, not the switch to the Pistol. Carlotta and Herman were still there for 2012, when production hit 5.40.
3. Like 2009, there was a big drop in running back production in 2013 when the injuries were once again severe on the offensive line. Note that if we compare them directly, 2013 (even with the internal problems that team had) had higher production than 2009, so the Pistol can't be hurting, and is probably helping. 4. The very young offensive line of 2014 will be together for years. I would expect that like the years following 2009, we will see rising production from the running backs in 2015, 2016, and 2017 (when Lowery, Pruehs, McCray, and Wood will be Seniors). The significant improvement between the first games and the last three games bodes well for the coming years.
Last Edited: 12/6/2014 3:47:19 PM by L.C.