Ohio Football Topic
Topic: What is Our Biggest Challenge?
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colobobcat66
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Posted: 5/3/2015 10:32 AM
perimeterpost wrote:expand_more
They thought it was a fair deal since they only supplied 10% of the schools over the last decade to the post season.

Do you really expect me to believe that the reason the G5 only played in 10% of the bowl games is because the G5 didn't have more teams to qualify? You cannot be serious. You think that the reason a 10-2 NIU team didn't go to a bowl game in 2003 is because they didn't earn it, but a 6-6 Northwestern team did? Are you serious?


Why doesn't a college grad right out of college who receives an offer of 40,000 demand 80,000? After all they are in the same company working along side people making 80,000. That is because they are just happy to be there. Then they have to stay at that job 4-5 years before they can think of hopping for more. The G5 is relatively new to the game because before the couple of conferences outside of the BCS were not collectively organized. There are more schools now outside the power structure with collective interests, none of which have any hope of becoming power conferences ever.

Your analogy doesn't work on several levels. A salary is based on many things, including experience and job function. That's not what this is about. I don't give a rat's rear end about how "new" the G5 conferences are or not. The CFP contract in question began in 2014, in 2014 there were 10 EQUAL conferences in FBS. They should be treated equally.

And spare me this "we is so grateful to be here, ah thank you good sir for allowing us to eat your crumbs". Its humiliating. We are Division 1 FBS members and deserve fair and equitable treatment. This excuse making for a corrupt system that has no equivalent in the sports world has got to stop.

I think that you are really hung up on the "equal" thing. Schools that have $50,000,000 budgets and schools that have $25,000,000 budgets are not equal. Schools that average 20,000 fans and schools that average 50,000 fans are not equals. It is obvious to me that a division of the haves and have nots has taken place and the gap is widening. That gap is based on economic reality and history, not corruption and criminal activity that you keep referring to. When the P5 became essentially a separate division-autonomous - within the FBS, the rest of the FBS teams allowed that because it was obvious that they had no choice if they wanted any piece of that cash cow. The teams are not equals. What part of autonomous do you not understand? If the P5 wants to do something, they can do it. They are autonomous. Calling these teams and conferences equals over and over doesn't make them equals in reality. The market place has separated these teams. The MAC is relegated to weekdays in November because that is the only way they can be nationally relevant, and that is only minimally true at best. They are a filler in the football world. Almost nobody outside of MAC fans and diehard football fans are watching.

I agree that the system is now rigged so that a G5 team cannot win a championship now, but that's been true , more or less, under the old systems in place for what 40 years.

As for discussions about the NFL, there are a limited number of teams nationally, mostly supported by fans from large metropolitan areas with large fan bases regionally in many cases. Those teams have much more in common than the 128 or so FBS teams that have very different economic realities. The richer teams also have local media payouts that enhance their budgets so they end up a lot of extra income apart from NFL payouts.
Last Edited: 5/3/2015 10:44:45 AM by colobobcat66
L.C.
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Posted: 5/3/2015 12:09 PM
perimeterpost wrote:expand_more
...You think that the reason a 10-2 NIU team didn't go to a bowl game in 2003 is because they didn't earn it, but a 6-6 Northwestern team did? Are you serious? ...

I think that the reason is very clear. Bowl games are not about football; Bowl games need to make money, and the football is merely a means to an end. It's very clear that Northwestern brings more fans bowls than NIU, so therefore Northwestern "deserved" the invite.

Today we have a lot more crumbs, so even teams that bring no substantial number of fans to the game can get invited. I honestly don't know how the economics of such bowls can work, but apparently it does because they keep making more second tier bowls. Even in those bottom bowls the question of "who will bring more fans" is still relevant. Ohio got the bowl invite over Toledo in 2012 because Schaus convinced the bowl that Ohio would bring more fans.
perimeterpost
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Posted: 5/3/2015 4:42 PM
colobobcat66 wrote:expand_more
I think that you are really hung up on the "equal" thing. Schools that have $50,000,000 budgets and schools that have $25,000,000 budgets are not equal.

Then NFL teams worth $3.2B and $900M are not equal.


colobobcat66 wrote:expand_more
Schools that average 20,000 fans and schools that average 50,000 fans are not equals.

Then NFL teams that average 52K fans and NFL teams that average 90K fans are not equals.


colobobcat66 wrote:expand_more
It is obvious to me that a division of the haves and have nots has taken place and the gap is widening. That gap is based on economic reality and history, not corruption and criminal activity that you keep referring to.

The cities of Detroit, Buffalo and Green Bay are economic have nots and the gap is widening, based on history. At what point should the NFL stop giving them an equal revenue share?


colobobcat66 wrote:expand_more
When the P5 became essentially a separate division-autonomous - within the FBS, the rest of the FBS teams allowed that because it was obvious that they had no choice if they wanted any piece of that cash cow. The teams are not equals. What part of autonomous do you not understand? If the P5 wants to do something, they can do it. They are autonomous. Calling these teams and conferences equals over and over doesn't make them equals in reality.

What part of equal do YOU not understand? Ohio State and Northwestern are equals. Florida State and Wake Forrest are equals. USC and Washington State are equals. When TCU joined the Big XII were they told that because historically they weren't a P5 school that going forward they would only get 27% of conference revenue share? No, of course not, because the historical argument is nonsense. The P5 is not a separate division. The P5 is not autonomous. The P5 is not in the same league as the G5 because they are charitable. Nothing they do is for charity. They are in the same league because its a rigged system that pads their win totals. The SEC played 112 games last year, 44 of those were against non-P5 competition and they won nearly all of them. That's 40% of all games played. Its a scam. And once again I need to point out- equality means equal in opportunity, not equal in resources or results. All teams in a league deserve equality of opportunity.


colobobcat66 wrote:expand_more
Almost nobody outside of MAC fans and diehard football fans are watching.

and why is that? stop pretending that there isn't a cause and effect.


colobobcat66 wrote:expand_more
I agree that the system is now rigged so that a G5 team cannot win a championship now, but that's been true , more or less, under the old systems in place for what 40 years.

Oh, if its been like that historically then that makes it ok. 'Cause history is so important and all.


colobobcat66 wrote:expand_more
As for discussions about the NFL, there are a limited number of teams nationally, mostly supported by fans from large metropolitan areas with large fan bases regionally in many cases. Those teams have much more in common than the 128 or so FBS teams that have very different economic realities. The richer teams also have local media payouts that enhance their budgets so they end up a lot of extra income apart from NFL payouts.

And none of that has to do with equality of opportunity guaranteed by the league they're in? None? Keep burying your head in the sand.
Last Edited: 5/3/2015 4:45:19 PM by perimeterpost
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Posted: 5/3/2015 7:37 PM
Answer: Sustainable consistent revenue
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Posted: 5/3/2015 8:52 PM
What will cause sustainable, consistent revenue (which I take to also mean increased/increasing revenue)?
perimeterpost
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Posted: 5/3/2015 10:03 PM
I've changed my mind.

Our biggest challenge is not that we are members of a corrupt sports league with no direct path to a championship game and a revenue distribution model that is so unjustly disproportionate that no other sports league on earth would ever consider adopting it because it insures that half of its members will forever be unable to compete with the other half.

No, our biggest challenge is that we have a fan base that thinks we deserve to be in a league like this.
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Posted: 5/3/2015 11:07 PM
perimeterpost wrote:expand_more
. . . I've changed my mind. No, our biggest challenge is that we have a fan base that thinks we deserve to be in a league like this.
+1 Though I would have probably worded it differently, and I don't think all of our fans think this way, there is a certain segment of our fan base that to take a phrase out of another arena, suffer from "the soft bigotry of low expectations." I think that this is less so since Frank has been here, but it's still prevalent. However, for me “I dream things that never were and say, why not?” Remember our old friend, DumpTheMACNow (or something like that). Perhaps he was a prophet ahead his time. Certainly our league-jumping options are limited, but they are not non-existent. C-USA, which in some ways would be a lateral move, would have two advantages: No damn icy cold mid-week games, and it would allow us a little separation from those Ohio teams that would still be in the MAC. Also, once UC bolts from the AAC, there just might be a slot open up that Ohio could fill. That league would provide more revenue and a better image, even without UC. And, we would get to renew our rivalry with Temple, which was a lot more fun while it lasted that Miami has been recently. Those Temple dudes really didn't like us at all -- but they respected us.
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Posted: 5/4/2015 1:33 PM
OhioCatFan wrote:expand_more
. . . I've changed my mind. No, our biggest challenge is that we have a fan base that thinks we deserve to be in a league like this.
+1 Though I would have probably worded it differently, and I don't think all of our fans think this way, there is a certain segment of our fan base that to take a phrase out of another arena, suffer from "the soft bigotry of low expectations." I think that this is less so since Frank has been here, but it's still prevalent. However, for me “I dream things that never were and say, why not?” Remember our old friend, DumpTheMACNow (or something like that). Perhaps he was a prophet ahead his time. Certainly our league-jumping options are limited, but they are not non-existent. C-USA, which in some ways would be a lateral move, would have two advantages: No damn icy cold mid-week games, and it would allow us a little separation from those Ohio teams that would still be in the MAC. Also, once UC bolts from the AAC, there just might be a slot open up that Ohio could fill. That league would provide more revenue and a better image, even without UC. And, we would get to renew our rivalry with Temple, which was a lot more fun while it lasted that Miami has been recently. Those Temple dudes really didn't like us at all -- but they respected us.
While I admire your passion Perimeter, if many are in the same boat as me, they share the ambition of being in a conference of higher caliber while at the same time fully acknowledging that there are financial limitations preventing us from getting into such a conference, not to mention no empty seats in those at present. (ACC, for example) The interim solution for me would be transitioning to AAC if the speculated moves of UCONN/UC actually occur, but I still feel that it would take a cash infusion that excluded increasing student fees, for which there is no appetite from anyone involved. I would love to see us in AAC or higher, but I am not going to turn my back to the fiscal realities.
Last Edited: 5/4/2015 1:35:19 PM by D.A.
perimeterpost
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Posted: 5/4/2015 4:11 PM
I have no desire to leave the MAC. The MAC isn't the problem, FBS is the problem.

The MAC is a conference made up of universities with similar demographics in a reasonable geographic footprint with the majority of its members sharing decades of shared history. The MAC is exactly what every conference should be.

Wanting to leave the MAC to move to a stepping stone to nowhere like the AAC does nothing to address the root problems that make FBS the worst sports league on earth. Conference Realignment Insanity Syndrome is just another awful bi-product of FBS's corruption.
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Posted: 5/4/2015 5:47 PM
^Sorry Perimeter, I mistook your assertion. I would love us to have an equal revenue split, but if all G5 shared equally it wouldn't put us any closer to a P5 transition than any other G5 in the present state. While I would love a more equitable split, my ultimate concern is our program is excelling beyond our G5 peers regardless of our present share, and placing us in a position to upgrade to a P5 conference if/when an opportunity existed.
Last Edited: 5/4/2015 5:49:04 PM by D.A.
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Posted: 5/5/2015 2:18 AM
perimeterpost wrote:expand_more
Why doesn't a college grad right out of college who receives an offer of 40,000 demand 80,000? After all they are in the same company working along side people making 80,000. That is because they are just happy to be there. Then they have to stay at that job 4-5 years before they can think of hopping for more. The G5 is relatively new to the game because before the couple of conferences outside of the BCS were not collectively organized. There are more schools now outside the power structure with collective interests, none of which have any hope of becoming power conferences ever.

Your analogy doesn't work on several levels. A salary is based on many things, including experience and job function. That's not what this is about. I don't give a rat's rear end about how "new" the G5 conferences are or not. The CFP contract in question began in 2014, in 2014 there were 10 EQUAL conferences in FBS. They should be treated equally.

And spare me this "we is so grateful to be here, ah thank you good sir for allowing us to eat your crumbs". Its humiliating. We are Division 1 FBS members and deserve fair and equitable treatment. This excuse making for a corrupt system that has no equivalent in the sports world has got to stop.
Let me try to draw analogy to the civil rights movement. The NCAAP came before Brown vs. Board of Education and MLK's I had a dream speech came after that. During the civil right struggle some co-opted African American business leaders accepted the status quo believing like that plumber story they were along for the ride. Taking this back to the path to the national championship struggle up until the 90's it was hushed up completely that some schools had no chance. The NCAA management council after BCS began was formed with all 6 BCS conferences having 3 votes and so did the WAC and CUSA with 3 votes. The MAC only had 1 vote, the red headed step child that would't even get its scores reported on the sports ticker. The WAC and CUSA were co-opted by the BCS in thinking they were part of the big boys so refused to play the poor MAC in any bowl games. Then the WAC split and its 3 votes were split evenly to 1.5 a piece both WAC and MWC. The MAC was bumped up to 1.5 and same with SBC. 2004-2010 the MWC was using creative math to prove they belonged as the 7th BCS conference. It forced the BCS to set up a performance based standard that if the performance was within a certain threshold of the Top 5 conferences the 6th or 7th best conference would be considered worthy of an automatic bid. The MWC thinking they would be in the club didn't care about the other non-AQ conferences. Then realignment hit, a new post season system and a restructured management council with 3 votes P5, 2 votes G5. An automatic bid to a major bowl shared among the G5. For the first time the MAC, MWC, AAC, CUSA and SBC were treated as true equals and they are now coordinating bowls together like never before. From the MAC's perspective there is progress. Its getting to the point in this evolution where there is enough schools with a common plight that united to fight not having equal footing with the P5. Its not that I don't agree that the system is unfair its that like any power struggle there have been setbacks and trickery to maintain power. IMO, its at least fair to wait to see the impact of all the new NCAA legislation and a few years of the new system to understand the next plan of attack. The schools at this point that are reliant on the P5 are the Purdue's and Pittsburgh's of the world that are overpaid because they are in the right conference. G5's have built up their own value and have in many cases unique markets to work with. My point with the Florida recruiting is that its wide open now to recruit against AAC schools and with ESPN coverage against many ACC schools that don't get many broadcast windows. The downside of going to 14 team power conferences is that some schools are getting pushed even further down the priority list. The bottom 15 P5 schools have no chance to win their conference and go to a major bowl game. The non-traditional football schools in our region Louisville, Cincinnati, West Virginia have all done it by recruiting the Sunshine State effectively. Marshall loads up on non-qualifiers and once in a while it works. With Ohio's location it can be done. That is harder to say for CMU located way up north in Michigan. I could understand if Ohio was located in the middle of Wisconsin that it wouldn't be reasonable to expect to hit Florida hard but its not the case.
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Posted: 5/5/2015 8:43 AM
Uncle Wes wrote:expand_more
Why doesn't a college grad right out of college who receives an offer of 40,000 demand 80,000? After all they are in the same company working along side people making 80,000. That is because they are just happy to be there. Then they have to stay at that job 4-5 years before they can think of hopping for more. The G5 is relatively new to the game because before the couple of conferences outside of the BCS were not collectively organized. There are more schools now outside the power structure with collective interests, none of which have any hope of becoming power conferences ever.

Your analogy doesn't work on several levels. A salary is based on many things, including experience and job function. That's not what this is about. I don't give a rat's rear end about how "new" the G5 conferences are or not. The CFP contract in question began in 2014, in 2014 there were 10 EQUAL conferences in FBS. They should be treated equally.

And spare me this "we is so grateful to be here, ah thank you good sir for allowing us to eat your crumbs". Its humiliating. We are Division 1 FBS members and deserve fair and equitable treatment. This excuse making for a corrupt system that has no equivalent in the sports world has got to stop.
Let me try to draw analogy to the civil rights movement. The NCAAP came before Brown vs. Board of Education and MLK's I had a dream speech came after that. During the civil right struggle some co-opted African American business leaders accepted the status quo believing like that plumber story they were along for the ride. Taking this back to the path to the national championship struggle up until the 90's it was hushed up completely that some schools had no chance. The NCAA management council after BCS began was formed with all 6 BCS conferences having 3 votes and so did the WAC and CUSA with 3 votes. The MAC only had 1 vote, the red headed step child that would't even get its scores reported on the sports ticker. The WAC and CUSA were co-opted by the BCS in thinking they were part of the big boys so refused to play the poor MAC in any bowl games. Then the WAC split and its 3 votes were split evenly to 1.5 a piece both WAC and MWC. The MAC was bumped up to 1.5 and same with SBC. 2004-2010 the MWC was using creative math to prove they belonged as the 7th BCS conference. It forced the BCS to set up a performance based standard that if the performance was within a certain threshold of the Top 5 conferences the 6th or 7th best conference would be considered worthy of an automatic bid. The MWC thinking they would be in the club didn't care about the other non-AQ conferences. Then realignment hit, a new post season system and a restructured management council with 3 votes P5, 2 votes G5. An automatic bid to a major bowl shared among the G5. For the first time the MAC, MWC, AAC, CUSA and SBC were treated as true equals and they are now coordinating bowls together like never before. From the MAC's perspective there is progress. Its getting to the point in this evolution where there is enough schools with a common plight that united to fight not having equal footing with the P5. Its not that I don't agree that the system is unfair its that like any power struggle there have been setbacks and trickery to maintain power. IMO, its at least fair to wait to see the impact of all the new NCAA legislation and a few years of the new system to understand the next plan of attack. The schools at this point that are reliant on the P5 are the Purdue's and Pittsburgh's of the world that are overpaid because they are in the right conference. G5's have built up their own value and have in many cases unique markets to work with. My point with the Florida recruiting is that its wide open now to recruit against AAC schools and with ESPN coverage against many ACC schools that don't get many broadcast windows. The downside of going to 14 team power conferences is that some schools are getting pushed even further down the priority list. The bottom 15 P5 schools have no chance to win their conference and go to a major bowl game. The non-traditional football schools in our region Louisville, Cincinnati, West Virginia have all done it by recruiting the Sunshine State effectively.
Marshall loads up on non-qualifiers and once in a while it works. With Ohio's location it can be done. That is harder to say for CMU located way up north in Michigan. I could understand if Ohio was located in the middle of Wisconsin that it wouldn't be reasonable to expect to hit Florida hard but its not the case.

I don't always agree with you, but there are lots of good insights about details that I didn't know. Some good stuff there. Two points I don't necessarily agree with are that the bottom 15 P5 schools have no chance for a major bowl and somehow we have some kind of recruiting advantages because of our (lousy)TV contract. Re: point 1, I believe that almost any of those schools are 1 great or very good coach and a top player or 2 away from being able to play in a major bowl (Baylor is my poster child for that) maybe even Minnesota might make it with a good QB. I just ever hate to say no chance when you dealing with fluid situations like athletics. On a lesser scale, I'm not sure we have much of an advantage in recruiting Florida athletes. We don't have any coaches that have extensive Florida contacts (Dixon maybe?), and while we have a weather advantage over other MAC schools, it seems that the proliferation of new FBS schools in the south somewhat mitigates our location/ weather advantage we have in the MAC. I still see some down sides with our games played midweek in front of a few thousand frozen fans(the NIU game for example). I wouldn't think that would appeal to a lot of Florida kids on several levels.
Last Edited: 5/5/2015 12:42:51 PM by colobobcat66
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Posted: 5/5/2015 12:02 PM
We are recruiting the hell out of British Columbia! ;-) Those kids will play well in what passes for winter in these parts. To heck with Florida, think Canada. It's a really untapped area. Someone else said we need to recruit players who fit our system. I say recruit players who will love our weather on cold November evenings and be able to play without their longjohns.
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Posted: 5/5/2015 12:44 PM
OhioCatFan wrote:expand_more
We are recruiting the hell out of British Columbia! ;-) Those kids will play well in what passes for winter in these parts. To heck with Florida, think Canada. It's a really untapped area. Someone else said we need to recruit players who fit our system. I say recruit players who will love our weather on cold November evenings and be able to play without their longjohns.

You may be on to something there, good one, although Michigan is probably colder than coastal BC.
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Posted: 5/5/2015 1:07 PM
perimeterpost wrote:expand_more
No, our biggest challenge is that we have a fan base that thinks we deserve to be in a league like this.

Agreed.
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Posted: 5/5/2015 2:05 PM
Some more relevant looks at the new CFP payout system:

http://www.foxsports.com/college-football/outkick-the-cov...

http://businessofcollegesports.com/data/2014-15-cfp-payou.../

(sorry the table is difficult to read, but I cannot get the formatting to take for the table of data below)

DISTRIBUTION BY CONFERENCE 2013-14 (BCS) 2014-15 (CFP) % INCREASE

Mountain West $3,591,309 $23,465,188 553%
Mid-American $2,394,206 $14,088,886 488%
Conference USA $2,992,757 $16,339,754 446%
U.S. Naval Academy $100,000 $307,544 208%
U.S. Military Academy $100,000 $307,544 208%
Brigham Young $100,000 $307,544 208%
Sun Belt $4,189,860 $11,963,453 186%
Pacific 10 /Pac-12 $27,897,751 $69,328,611 149%
Southeastern $34,197,751 $65,598,710 92%
Big 12 $34,197,751 $64,700,801 89%
Big 10 $34,197,751 $63,978,927 87%
Atlantic Coast $34,197,751 $58,260,649 70%
Notre Dame $2,319,639 $2,321,258 0%
Big East /American Athletic $27,897,751 $15,214,320 -45%

DISTRIBUTION TO CONFERENCES $210,824,276 $408,433,189 94%


UMass will take an estimated $775k haircut by going Indy next season, based on an underperforming MAC's distribution in 2014, and which will boost each member's cut by $90k. Also shows what having the MAC securing the G5 spot in the CFP will do when you look at the MWC cut for last year.
Last Edited: 5/5/2015 2:12:42 PM by D.A.
perimeterpost
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Posted: 5/5/2015 3:22 PM
Uncle Wes wrote:expand_more
Why doesn't a college grad right out of college who receives an offer of 40,000 demand 80,000? After all they are in the same company working along side people making 80,000. That is because they are just happy to be there. Then they have to stay at that job 4-5 years before they can think of hopping for more. The G5 is relatively new to the game because before the couple of conferences outside of the BCS were not collectively organized. There are more schools now outside the power structure with collective interests, none of which have any hope of becoming power conferences ever.

Your analogy doesn't work on several levels. A salary is based on many things, including experience and job function. That's not what this is about. I don't give a rat's rear end about how "new" the G5 conferences are or not. The CFP contract in question began in 2014, in 2014 there were 10 EQUAL conferences in FBS. They should be treated equally.

And spare me this "we is so grateful to be here, ah thank you good sir for allowing us to eat your crumbs". Its humiliating. We are Division 1 FBS members and deserve fair and equitable treatment. This excuse making for a corrupt system that has no equivalent in the sports world has got to stop.
Let me try to draw analogy to the civil rights movement. The NCAAP came before Brown vs. Board of Education and MLK's I had a dream speech came after that. During the civil right struggle some co-opted African American business leaders accepted the status quo believing like that plumber story they were along for the ride. Taking this back to the path to the national championship struggle up until the 90's it was hushed up completely that some schools had no chance. The NCAA management council after BCS began was formed with all 6 BCS conferences having 3 votes and so did the WAC and CUSA with 3 votes. The MAC only had 1 vote, the red headed step child that would't even get its scores reported on the sports ticker. The WAC and CUSA were co-opted by the BCS in thinking they were part of the big boys so refused to play the poor MAC in any bowl games. Then the WAC split and its 3 votes were split evenly to 1.5 a piece both WAC and MWC. The MAC was bumped up to 1.5 and same with SBC. 2004-2010 the MWC was using creative math to prove they belonged as the 7th BCS conference. It forced the BCS to set up a performance based standard that if the performance was within a certain threshold of the Top 5 conferences the 6th or 7th best conference would be considered worthy of an automatic bid. The MWC thinking they would be in the club didn't care about the other non-AQ conferences. Then realignment hit, a new post season system and a restructured management council with 3 votes P5, 2 votes G5. An automatic bid to a major bowl shared among the G5. For the first time the MAC, MWC, AAC, CUSA and SBC were treated as true equals and they are now coordinating bowls together like never before. From the MAC's perspective there is progress. Its getting to the point in this evolution where there is enough schools with a common plight that united to fight not having equal footing with the P5. Its not that I don't agree that the system is unfair its that like any power struggle there have been setbacks and trickery to maintain power. IMO, its at least fair to wait to see the impact of all the new NCAA legislation and a few years of the new system to understand the next plan of attack. The schools at this point that are reliant on the P5 are the Purdue's and Pittsburgh's of the world that are overpaid because they are in the right conference. G5's have built up their own value and have in many cases unique markets to work with. My point with the Florida recruiting is that its wide open now to recruit against AAC schools and with ESPN coverage against many ACC schools that don't get many broadcast windows. The downside of going to 14 team power conferences is that some schools are getting pushed even further down the priority list. The bottom 15 P5 schools have no chance to win their conference and go to a major bowl game. The non-traditional football schools in our region Louisville, Cincinnati, West Virginia have all done it by recruiting the Sunshine State effectively. Marshall loads up on non-qualifiers and once in a while it works. With Ohio's location it can be done. That is harder to say for CMU located way up north in Michigan. I could understand if Ohio was located in the middle of Wisconsin that it wouldn't be reasonable to expect to hit Florida hard but its not the case.
valid point.
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Casper71
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Posted: 5/5/2015 3:35 PM
Is winning a MAC Championship. Everything else would take care of itself if we just demanded and took care of business. We'd have more revenue, butts in the seats, play better opponents, get on tv more, go to a bigger bowl game and be at least a little more relevant. if we're gonna stay in this neighborhood we might as well be the best on the street. I think that is what NIU is thinking and doing.
perimeterpost
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Posted: 5/5/2015 3:44 PM
D.A. wrote:expand_more
Some more relevant looks at the new CFP payout system:

http://www.foxsports.com/college-football/outkick-the-cov...

http://businessofcollegesports.com/data/2014-15-cfp-payou.../

(sorry the table is difficult to read, but I cannot get the formatting to take for the table of data below)

DISTRIBUTION BY CONFERENCE 2013-14 (BCS) 2014-15 (CFP) % INCREASE

Mountain West $3,591,309 $23,465,188 553%
Mid-American $2,394,206 $14,088,886 488%
Conference USA $2,992,757 $16,339,754 446%
U.S. Naval Academy $100,000 $307,544 208%
U.S. Military Academy $100,000 $307,544 208%
Brigham Young $100,000 $307,544 208%
Sun Belt $4,189,860 $11,963,453 186%
Pacific 10 /Pac-12 $27,897,751 $69,328,611 149%
Southeastern $34,197,751 $65,598,710 92%
Big 12 $34,197,751 $64,700,801 89%
Big 10 $34,197,751 $63,978,927 87%
Atlantic Coast $34,197,751 $58,260,649 70%
Notre Dame $2,319,639 $2,321,258 0%
Big East /American Athletic $27,897,751 $15,214,320 -45%

DISTRIBUTION TO CONFERENCES $210,824,276 $408,433,189 94%


UMass will take an estimated $775k haircut by going Indy next season, based on an underperforming MAC's distribution in 2014, and which will boost each member's cut by $90k. Also shows what having the MAC securing the G5 spot in the CFP will do when you look at the MWC cut for last year.
It's almost impressive to see just how ruthless the P5 conferences really are. In the final year of the BCS era the P5 received 80.0% of the total revenue while the Big East + the 5 Non-BCS conferences received 20%. Most of that 20% went to the Big East as they got a share equal to each of the P5.

In the first year of the CFP era the P5 received 79.9% of the total revenue, they didn't sacrifice an inch of ground. But more importantly, they were able to eliminate a competitor all together. FBS went from 6 Haves and and 5 Have Nots in the BCS era to 5 Haves and 5 Have-Nots in the CFP era.

By killing one of their brothers and spreading his earnings out over the 5 Little Sisters of the Poor the P5 consolidated their power, eliminated a threat, and appeased the 5 LSotP by offering them "huge" increases in their revenue percentages. Brilliant. Vile and contemptible, but brilliant.
L.C.
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Posted: 5/5/2015 5:15 PM
Casper71 wrote:expand_more
Is winning a MAC Championship. Everything else would take care of itself if we just demanded and took care of business. We'd have more revenue, butts in the seats, play better opponents, get on tv more, go to a bigger bowl game and be at least a little more relevant. if we're gonna stay in this neighborhood we might as well be the best on the street. I think that is what NIU is thinking and doing.

One thing if you find in life is that things that "everyone knows" are not always true. NIU has now won three MAC Championships in the last four years, so attendance should be soaring, you would think. Yet, here are the actual attendance numbers for Huskie Stadium:
(The following data excludes 3 games at Soldier Field, 61500 v. Iowa in 2007, 41068 v. Wisconsin in 2011, and 52117 v. Iowa in 2012)

2005 22,176
2006 20,771
2007 17,864
2008 18,185
2009 14,889
2010 17,176
2011 15,209 <--MAC Champions
2012 15,670 <--MAC Champions
2013 20,669 <--West Champions
2014 13,563 <--MAC Champions

For another way to look it is, let's show the game with the highest attendance, by year:
2005 26,123 v. Tennesee Tech
2006 27,039 v. Temple
2007 24,182 v. S. Illinois
2008 22,092 v. Toledo
2009 21,427 v. W. Illinois
2010 21,230 v. Buffalo
2011 20,277 v. WMU
2012 18,374 v. Kansas
2013 23,595 v. E. Illinois
2014 20,122 v. CMU

Odd as it may seem their attendance is falling, not rising, and the 2013 numbers were unusually good because of the excellent attendance against E. Illinois. Even the post-MAC game against Iowa at Soldier Field in 2012 was lower than the pre-MAC Championship game against them in 2007.

Partly the average attendances in down because of the mid-week games, no doubt, but that doesn't explain why the Saturday peaks are dropping, which they are. Look at the game by game numbers for last year, which I'd call pathetic from start to finish:
August 28th, Saturday, 6PM v. Presbyterian 12,338
Oct. 4th, Saturday, 4PM v. Kent 15,620
Oct. 11th, Saturday, 4PM v. CMU 20,122
Oct. 18th, Saturday, 4PM v. Miami (Oh) 11,211
Nov. 11th, 7PM v. Toledo for West Crown, 8,462

Next, look at their Stadium records for attendance:
http://www.redandblackattack.com/pages/niu-attendance
The list is out of date, and includes only games played before NIU won their first MAC Championship in 2011. Including only the old games is pretty much OK because, if it were updated to the present, only one post-MACC game would be added, with the 2013 game against E. Illinois moving in at #18.

The NIU data does not support the idea that "if you win a MAC, attendance will rise". Interestingly, this data also does not support a few other common comments. I note that 4 years out of 10 the best attended games were against FCS teams. I also note that while their home game against Kansas was their best attended game in 2012, having a BCS team at home did not draw crowds.

I honestly don't know why NIU's attendance is falling, and whether it is unlucky weather, bad promotion, or some other problem, but the direction is clearly down.

Fortunately Ohio has the best fans in the MAC, and that's no joke. They also, obviously, have the best ticket sales team in the MAC. Hopefully we will have an opportunity to see what a MAC Championship does for Ohio attendance.
L.C.
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Posted: 5/5/2015 5:26 PM
D.A. wrote:expand_more
Some more relevant looks at the new CFP payout system:..

Very interesting. Looking at the per team averages:
Big 12/10 - $6.470
PAC 12 - $5.777
SE - $4.686
Big 10/14 - $4.569
ACC - $4.161
Notre Dame - $2.321
MWC - $1.955 each
CUSA - $1.257 each
Sunbelt - $1.088 each
MAC - $1.084 each
BYU, Army, Navy - $.308 each

I'd say that all the independents are taking a hit here. Of course, maybe ND would do really, really well if they actually made the playoff, I don't know.
Last Edited: 5/5/2015 5:37:42 PM by L.C.
Athens
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Posted: 5/5/2015 11:28 PM
L.C. wrote:expand_more
Some more relevant looks at the new CFP payout system:..

Very interesting. Looking at the per team averages:
Big 12/10 - $6.470
PAC 12 - $5.777
SE - $4.686
Big 10/14 - $4.569
ACC - $4.161
Notre Dame - $2.321
MWC - $1.955 each
CUSA - $1.257 each
Sunbelt - $1.088 each
MAC - $1.084 each
BYU, Army, Navy - $.308 each

I'd say that all the independents are taking a hit here. Of course, maybe ND would do really, really well if they actually made the playoff, I don't know.
CUSA is at 1.167 million split 14 ways, pretty close to the MAC. AAC was 1.52 million this past season splitting 10 ways.
Athens
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Posted: 5/6/2015 12:01 AM
colobobcat66 wrote:expand_more
Why doesn't a college grad right out of college who receives an offer of 40,000 demand 80,000? After all they are in the same company working along side people making 80,000. That is because they are just happy to be there. Then they have to stay at that job 4-5 years before they can think of hopping for more. The G5 is relatively new to the game because before the couple of conferences outside of the BCS were not collectively organized. There are more schools now outside the power structure with collective interests, none of which have any hope of becoming power conferences ever.

Your analogy doesn't work on several levels. A salary is based on many things, including experience and job function. That's not what this is about. I don't give a rat's rear end about how "new" the G5 conferences are or not. The CFP contract in question began in 2014, in 2014 there were 10 EQUAL conferences in FBS. They should be treated equally.

And spare me this "we is so grateful to be here, ah thank you good sir for allowing us to eat your crumbs". Its humiliating. We are Division 1 FBS members and deserve fair and equitable treatment. This excuse making for a corrupt system that has no equivalent in the sports world has got to stop.
Let me try to draw analogy to the civil rights movement. The NCAAP came before Brown vs. Board of Education and MLK's I had a dream speech came after that. During the civil right struggle some co-opted African American business leaders accepted the status quo believing like that plumber story they were along for the ride. Taking this back to the path to the national championship struggle up until the 90's it was hushed up completely that some schools had no chance. The NCAA management council after BCS began was formed with all 6 BCS conferences having 3 votes and so did the WAC and CUSA with 3 votes. The MAC only had 1 vote, the red headed step child that would't even get its scores reported on the sports ticker. The WAC and CUSA were co-opted by the BCS in thinking they were part of the big boys so refused to play the poor MAC in any bowl games. Then the WAC split and its 3 votes were split evenly to 1.5 a piece both WAC and MWC. The MAC was bumped up to 1.5 and same with SBC. 2004-2010 the MWC was using creative math to prove they belonged as the 7th BCS conference. It forced the BCS to set up a performance based standard that if the performance was within a certain threshold of the Top 5 conferences the 6th or 7th best conference would be considered worthy of an automatic bid. The MWC thinking they would be in the club didn't care about the other non-AQ conferences. Then realignment hit, a new post season system and a restructured management council with 3 votes P5, 2 votes G5. An automatic bid to a major bowl shared among the G5. For the first time the MAC, MWC, AAC, CUSA and SBC were treated as true equals and they are now coordinating bowls together like never before. From the MAC's perspective there is progress. Its getting to the point in this evolution where there is enough schools with a common plight that united to fight not having equal footing with the P5. Its not that I don't agree that the system is unfair its that like any power struggle there have been setbacks and trickery to maintain power. IMO, its at least fair to wait to see the impact of all the new NCAA legislation and a few years of the new system to understand the next plan of attack. The schools at this point that are reliant on the P5 are the Purdue's and Pittsburgh's of the world that are overpaid because they are in the right conference. G5's have built up their own value and have in many cases unique markets to work with. My point with the Florida recruiting is that its wide open now to recruit against AAC schools and with ESPN coverage against many ACC schools that don't get many broadcast windows. The downside of going to 14 team power conferences is that some schools are getting pushed even further down the priority list. The bottom 15 P5 schools have no chance to win their conference and go to a major bowl game. The non-traditional football schools in our region Louisville, Cincinnati, West Virginia have all done it by recruiting the Sunshine State effectively.
Marshall loads up on non-qualifiers and once in a while it works. With Ohio's location it can be done. That is harder to say for CMU located way up north in Michigan. I could understand if Ohio was located in the middle of Wisconsin that it wouldn't be reasonable to expect to hit Florida hard but its not the case.

I don't always agree with you, but there are lots of good insights about details that I didn't know. Some good stuff there. Two points I don't necessarily agree with are that the bottom 15 P5 schools have no chance for a major bowl and somehow we have some kind of recruiting advantages because of our (lousy)TV contract. Re: point 1, I believe that almost any of those schools are 1 great or very good coach and a top player or 2 away from being able to play in a major bowl (Baylor is my poster child for that) maybe even Minnesota might make it with a good QB. I just ever hate to say no chance when you dealing with fluid situations like athletics. On a lesser scale, I'm not sure we have much of an advantage in recruiting Florida athletes. We don't have any coaches that have extensive Florida contacts (Dixon maybe?), and while we have a weather advantage over other MAC schools, it seems that the proliferation of new FBS schools in the south somewhat mitigates our location/ weather advantage we have in the MAC. I still see some down sides with our games played midweek in front of a few thousand frozen fans(the NIU game for example). I wouldn't think that would appeal to a lot of Florida kids on several levels.
I have followed recruiting for a great many years. The Ohio State's and Alabama's are loaded with 4/5 star recruits. Another 5-10 schools have that talent level but didn't have the coaching that Meyer and Saban bring. The average power conference school is loaded with 3/4 star recruits. They are at a talent disadvantage with the very elite schools but on a good day they have enough talent to pull an upset. There are some G5 schools, Cincinnati and Boise State come to mind that have built their programs to the point where they are equivalent to an average P5 and so they too are loaded with 3/4 star recruits with Top 50-Top 60 rated classes. Ohio's class this past year was its best overall at Top 75 and the IPF I'm sure played a huge part in that. I don't expect Ohio to match UC in talent but in the future it will be able to take recruiting up even a notch from the last couple of seasons with some very good classes. A Top 65 class with a few more 3/4 star players that is good enough to dominate the MAC sounds possible. The old BCS system had 68 schools in a BCS conference and the new P5 system has 65 so that is another 250+ 3/4 star recruits available for the G5. 20 years ago there was no reason for anyone to travel far to play at Ohio as there was nothing to offer in the way of facilities. With the IPF, Weight Room, Meeting Rooms, Therapy Pools, Updated Locker Rooms the school has some football facilities to work with. Other campus improvements like the new student center and remodeled library catch a few eyes on tour. Facilities are now respectable and are worth a look by the recruits with the academic center and new videoboard making it even more so. Facilities I do believe have accumulative value. No school for example has 2 IPF's or 2 academic centers. Its rare for there to be enough difference in locker rooms for a recruit to select one school or another because of it. Possibly weight rooms as Alabama has the largest in the country. Ohio's weight room could use a second level but is one of the largest in the MAC.
colobobcat66
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Posted: 5/6/2015 8:30 AM
I couldn't help it. I had to look up weigh room stats. A quick look shows the following:
Alabama-34,000 sq ft
Nebraska-30,000 sq ft ( just increased by 50%)
Florida-23,000 sq ft (just spent $28,000,000 to upgrade)
Texas-20,000 sq ft
The arms race continues. I'd like to see the stats on the MAC.
Deciduous Forest Cat
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Posted: 5/6/2015 10:08 AM
colobobcat66 wrote:expand_more
I couldn't help it. I had to look up weigh room stats. A quick look shows the following:
Alabama-34,000 sq ft
Nebraska-30,000 sq ft ( just increased by 50%)
Florida-23,000 sq ft (just spent $28,000,000 to upgrade)
Texas-20,000 sq ft
The arms race continues. I'd like to see the stats on the MAC.
UF spent 28 mil on a freaking weight room? Sorry, but that's just disgraceful. In so many ways.
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