Buffalo is out of the MACCG picture thanks to their loss to Ohio and not playing BG or MOFO. But they can still be regular season co-champs if BSU wins out and BG beats sMOFO. It would be a four-way tie for first.
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There is some debate about this. Buffalo fans believe they will be in if Ball State beats BG and BG beats Miami. BG fans believe they must win out, and that merely beating Miami will not do it.
They might be right. The head-to-head records in a four-way tie don't seem to apply because the four teams didn't all play each other so the first two criteria don't seem to apply (the second criterion is a bit confusing). That would mean the winning percentage vs all common opponents would come into play. In that case, the only common opponents among the four teams would be Akron, Kent, Toledo and BSU. Buffalo would be 4-0 vs those teams, while Ohio, MOFO and BG would be 3-1 (MOFO lost to Toledo; Ohio and BG would have losses vs BSU). The next criterion is record vs common opponents based on their order of finish, which would seem to eliminate MOFO because of its loss to Toledo, which should have a better record than BSU. Finally, a tie between Ohio and BG for the other MACCG spot might come down to one of the final three criteria for breaking two-team tied, which depends on the final MAC standings and the SportSourse Analytics rankings.
https://getsomemaction.com/documents/2024/9/18//2024_MAC_... The solution for Ohio is to JUST BEAT BALL STATE.