Tuesday November 12
WMU at BG - if BG later defeats Miami, Ohio could play the winner of this game
CMU at Toledo - go CMU, would eliminate Toledo from being in a 6-2 tiebreaker
BSU at Buffalo - idc

Wednesday November 13
EMU at OHIO - A must win for Ohio
Kent at MOFO - Miracles can happen, Go Kent
Akron at NIU - An Akron win might help Ohio in a tiebreaker at 6-2

It is a must win. If we lose then the odds of us getting to the MACCG are grim. But as LC pointed out, we already got all the help that we needed when NIU beat WMU. Since BG plays Miami and WMU there can't be a four way tie. I pointed out that if WMU and Ohio win out and since they don't play each teams loss is to an uncommon opponent the tiebreaker would go all the step 5 which is the number of MAC conference wins of your MAC opponents and that we have a one game lead right now. LC showed that the only way this can matter is in a three way tie and the only three way tie would be Ohio, WMU and Miami. For that to happen Miami, who WMU doesn't play has to have three wins and BG, who we don't play, has to lose to WMU and Miami. We basically make 5 more games in the step 5 tiebreaker. Oddly this means in means in the only situation that matters they can't catch us from behind and that three way tie gives Miami vs. Ohio. We DO control our own destiny already.

Thanks.

that's them trying to prove they belong in the SEC

Well, at least one of them will have two wins this season.

Tuesday's results:

BG 31--WMU 13
Toledo 37--CMU 10
Buffalo 51--BSU 48 (OT)


Standings: BG 5-1; OHIO and MOFO 4-1; WMU, Toledo and Buffalo 4-2.

BG and Buffalo are bowl eligible.

I haven't any data to back this up, but my guess is that when the team with the first possession in OT settles for a FG, they lose probably 75% of the time.

Wednesday's results:

OHIO 35--EMU 10
MOFO 34--Kent 7
NIU 29--Akron 16

Standings: OHIO, BG, MOFO 5-1; Buffalo, Toledo 4-2.

MOFO and NIU become bowl eligible.

Kent: 96 yds rushing; 82 yds passing. Kent run, Kent pass, Kent State.

I'll take your word for it on the 6-2 tiebreakers. There are too many to even think about. Suppose Ohio beats Toledo, but loses to Ball State, while Miami loses to NIU, but beats BG, and BG beats Ball State, and Buffalo wins out, as does WMU. That leaves Ohio, Miami, BG, Buffalo, and WMU all at 6-2. There are other, equally messy combinations...

If that were the case, BG and Buffalo would play. Buffalo would get credit for wins over Toledo and NIU (both beat Miami and Miami beat us) and they have toughest in-conference schedule with opponents.