I thought it would be interesting to compare the lists of coaches who might get fired, and the list of coaches who might move up to my list comparing actual results on the field to recruiting, which was:
http://tinyurl.com/o8jexy7 Coaches Already Fired, Retired, resigned, or otherwise no longer coaching:
USC +8 (fired for off-the-field issues)
Illinois +7 (fired for off-the-field issues)
North Texas -21
South Carolina -40
Maryland -49
Hot Seat:
Iowa State +4
Idaho -2
Georgia State -4
New Mexico State -17
UCF -21
Hawaii -21
Purdue -26
Miami, FL -37
Virginia -52
Your list of people that might move up:
Harsin (Boise State) +47
Campbell (Toledo) +45
Fuente (Memphis) +34
Herman (Houston) +20
Rhule (Temple) +19
Addazio (B.C.) +11
Fleck (WMU) -6
Graham (Arizona State) -10
There is obviously a relationship here, and I guess it's not surprising that they are related. Coaches that don't get the results you would expect from their recruits would need to be exceptional recruiters in order to succeed. Thus the only people on you list of candidates to move up that have negative numbers are exceptional recruiters that have only slightly negative numbers (like Fleck). Conversely people that get a lot out of the players that they have are always candidates to move up.
Applying the same principle, lets look at the coaches at the bottom of my other list who are not listed above. Are these schools also potential job openings for TOS?
Texas: Strong, 2d year, -63
Kansas: Beatty, 1st year, -55
Rutgers: Flood, 4th year, -46
USF: Taggart, 3rd year, -46
Auburn: Malzahn, 3rd year, -39
SMU: Morris, 1st year, -30
Oregon: Helfrich, 3rd year, -30
FAU: Partridge, 2d year, -29
Vandy: Mason, 2d year, -27
I suspect that many fans of these teams are not happy, but since all of these are relatively new coaches, they safe for now, especially if some of their other years have been better.
And, at the other end of the list I posted in the other thread, are these candidates to move up?
Navy: +75 Niumatalolo, 9th year
Georgia Southern: +52 Fritz, 2d year
W. Kentucky: +49 Brohm, 2d year
Utah State: +48 Wells, 3rd year
Appalachian State: +42 Satterfield, 3rd year
Kansas State, Snyder +37, 24th year
Louisiana Tech: +37 Holtz, 3rd year
Utah: Whittingham, 10th year
Georgia Tech: Johnson, 7th year
MTSU: Stockstill, 10th year
In most cases they are probably too new of a head coach to get a job offer to move up, or at the other extreme, they are coaches who have been in their current job a long time, and who aren't likely to move. Usually the big schools want to see a 3-4 year track record before they sign to give away the big bucks. Give a couple of these guys another good year next year, and they'll be moving on up.
Last Edited: 10/15/2015 4:54:47 PM by L.C.