Ohio was 3 point favorite ON THE ROAD. That means Vegas thinks they were almost a TD better in neutral field. They were obviously wrong.
I think they were only a little bit wrong, though. Neutral field I'd bet Ohio would still favored over UB narrowly, even after today's game. Like one point or something.
We can check when Sagarin comes out tomorrow, differences in predictor rating are usually pretty close to what Vegas gives for opening lines.
The point is the big margin in this game was really due to the turnovers -- Ohio having an especially bad game in one phase -- rather than a huge disparity between the strengths of the two teams.
Not that Ohio doesn't have a bunch of stuff to get corrected, and quickly. And even though turnovers were the main issue I'm not trying to lay all of that on one player (the QB), I think there were other factors involved.
Last Edited: 10/24/2015 11:20:18 PM by Cats-22