Ohio Football Topic
Topic: The Solich Offense
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Bcat2
2/23/2016 11:52 AM
L.C. wrote:expand_more
Bcat2, you can tell me that our O issues are on the line or with RBs or TEs or anything else. But, if you seriously don't think many of our issues on offense are related to having no better than average MAC QB play (most recent years) you are beyond help.

I guess you can count me among those "beyond help". I think that the last three years almost all of the offensive problems have been on the offensive line. It's difficult to assess the quarterbacks as a result, particularly since they've been hurt much of the time, or running for their life (think about the Kentucky game, for example).

Let's look at last season. Vick's passing numbers were very good up to the Miami game. In fact, they were on pace for Vick to become the all-time leader in Career Pass Efficiency at Ohio, but when the offensive line imploded against WMU-Buffalo-BG, his passing numbers were awful, and he got hurt as well, so he ended his career at #3, behind Tettleton and Boo Jackson. Meanwhile, when the offensive line was having a field day against Ball State and Northern Illinois, Sprague looked like he was all-MAC until he got hurt at NIU.

When I look at the data, what I see is that when the offensive line has been getting the job done, Ohio's quarterbacks have been among the MAC leaders in pass efficiency, and when the line hasn't been getting the job done, Ohio's quarterbacks have been frustrated and injured. To me that tells me that the offensive line needs to get it together and keep it together, and then the quarterbacks will be fine. What the data doesn't tell me is how good the quarterbacks would be/will be when the offensive line finally does put together a solid season from beginning to end. I hope to find the answer to that this fall, however.

Here are the top 10 seasons ever at Ohio for Pass Efficiency:
1. Tettleton 2011, 148.6
2. Tettleton 2012, 141.2
3. Bob Babbit 1962, 139.4
4. Tettleton 2013, 138.8
5. Boo Jackson 2008, 137.6
6. Sprague 2015, 136.6
7. Boo Jackson 2010, 136.2
8. Vick 2015, 134.0
9. Cleve Bryant 1968, 131.1
10. Vick 2014, 130.9

And, for a little more data, here are the MAC passing leaders from 2015:
1. Matt Johnson, BG 164.2
2. Zach Terrell, WMU 162.3
3. Cooper Rush CMU 144.7
4. Drew Hare, NIU 142.8
5. J.D. Sprague, Ohio 136.6
6. Derrius Vick, Ohio 134.0
7. Phillip Ely, Toledo 131.8
8. Brogan Roback, EMU 125.8
9. Ryan Graham, NIU 124.4
10. T. Woodson, Akron 123.1

When I look at the data, I don't see any evidence at all that QB was the problem. It appears to me that if they solve the problem up front, Ohio's QBs will be very close to the top of the MAC.
Thanks L.C.

What I and I hope Casper71 noted above is on the 2015 MAC Efficiency ratings Sprague and Vick both rated above Toledo's Phillip Ely. Ely, the four star Alabama recruit who transferred to Toledo. I also find it interesting that Ohio's tops eight record seasons are above what 4 Star recruit Ely was able to produce with all the talent Toledo fielded this year. Just interesting is all.
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Casper71
2/23/2016 3:04 PM
Haha, I guess I am using the eye test. If you are trying to tell me Sprague and/or Vick are the best QBs in the MAC the last 3-4 years...well, I don't know what to say. Other than numbers don't always tell the whole story.

And again, I get the OL issues. But, how many times have people remarked about a missed read or over/under thrown balls by the QB.

I also get that QBs in the FS&Co system are there primarilly not to make a big mistake that hurts you. BG and others however have won with QBs that can make big plays not just manage a game. Managing the game gets you 7-5 or 8-4. Making big plays gets you 9-3 or 10-2 or 11-1 and a MACC. I still say a good QB is what is lacking most in this program right now.
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Monroe Slavin
2/23/2016 4:37 PM
Robert Fox wrote:expand_more
Bcat2, you can tell me that our O issues are on the line or with RBs or TEs or anything else. But, if you seriously don't think many of our issues on offense are related to having no better than average MAC QB play (most recent years) you are beyond help.
I believe Bcat's post was defending our defense, not supporting our QB. But good of you to take another shot at him.

It really was good, wasn't it?!

And appropriate. How else are we going to get him or her to stop being delusional.

All those stats are wonderful. No, they're amazing. No, they're better than anything else ever.

Unless you watch us play and see the stiff, arch-conservative, never-changing way that we play. Of course, even average MAC qb's get over on us if they're experienced--because if you have tape on about two games on us from the past 5-6 years, you have all that you need to prepare for us.

I have no idea how stats about Alabama or other Ohio qb's and their stats get over the fact that we keep getting clocked several times a year...and put up meh results against/on cake schedules.


Gosh, these opponents are the best. If we beat them, then stop and immediately erect the statue: Texas State, Kansas, Gardner-Webb, miami, EMU, kents. That's six quite bad..the rest of the sched is not notable MAC plus Tennessee, which I presume is legit.

We'd almost have to try to not have a solidly winning record against that.


Wouldn't it be nice after 11 years of this if we didn't have apologists who accept average mediocre? I'd expect our fan base...and I think it's turning this way...to be less 'it's all good'...and more 'okay, if it doesn't work this coming year, we gotta re-consider.'
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Robert Fox
2/23/2016 4:51 PM
Monroe Slavin wrote:expand_more
How else are we going to get him or her to stop being delusional.
There's a softball that I'll just pass on.

Otherwise, what has Bcat posted, specifically, that is delusional? And please be specific, I may have missed it.
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Monroe Slavin
2/23/2016 5:37 PM
Bcat2 wrote:expand_more
In MAC for OHIO, I bet that there's quite a close correlation between losing and experience of opposition's qb.


We sure as heck seem to get picked apart by a lot of MAC qb's ...espec ones who aren't so physically talented but are experienced.

THIS HAS TO STOP.
Get real Monroe. Alabama had as good a defenses as you will find Rushing D 1st, Total D & Scoring D 3rd and yet Red Zone D was 62d. OMG 62d. I am sure Alabama has some genius fan, not, pointing out that 62d sucks and THIS HAS TO IMPROVE. Well, by God, Ohio really needs a better QB to pick other teams apart, but, by God a good QB from another team can not be allowed to have any success vs Ohio. Riight.

Robert Fox--Somehow comparing us and Alabama...Not realizing that we routinely get picked apart by very, very average qb's who merely need experience, not any particular skill, to beat us....Because if they've seen us once, they can be fully prepared for us....because arch-conservative football is predictable and doesn't change, doesn't react to circumstances.

To not admit to having seen it as we it happens to us and we have no answer, to not acknowledge that as a consistent problem over the years for OHIO FOOTBALL...well, that's some really impressive willfullness to ignore something very obvious, something that no statistics can justify or explain away....



I've posted this thought about very avg qb's beating us routinely--and no one's yet disputed it.


Not that anyone's ever advocated more blitzing, expec state-of-the-art flood a size type blitzes....




You may not like me, but I come with specific criticisms.
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cc-cat
2/23/2016 6:17 PM
Monroe Slavin wrote:expand_more
Yip, Yip
Yak, Yak, Yak
Yip, Yip

"Ignore"

I am digging this new ignore feature
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Monroe Slavin
2/23/2016 6:42 PM
cc-cat wrote:expand_more
Yip, Yip
Yak, Yak, Yak
Yip, Yip

"Ignore"

I am digging this new ignore feature
My man!:


Not realizing that we routinely get picked apart by very, very average qb's who merely need experience, not any particular skill, to beat us....Because if they've seen us once, they can be fully prepared for us....because arch-conservative football is predictable and doesn't change, doesn't react to circumstances.

To not admit to having seen it as we it happens to us and we have no answer, to not acknowledge that as a consistent problem over the years for OHIO FOOTBALL...well, that's some really impressive willfullness to ignore something very obvious, something that no statistics can justify or explain away....



I've posted this thought about very avg qb's beating us routinely--and no one's yet disputed it.



Ignore...be ignorant...but the truth is the truth despite your ignorance.




If you close your eyes, I'm not there!
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Robert Fox
2/23/2016 7:14 PM
So he
1. Brought up Alabama in a post (he didn't compare us with Alabama--he used them as an example).

2. He doesn't agree with you.

That's it? That's all you got?
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Monroe Slavin
2/24/2016 1:25 AM
There's not agreeing...and there's irrational unwillingness to acknowledge obvious truth.

I acknowl that the facilities have improved greatly under Solich and we now have a program whereas we had so many years of abysmal-what-is-this.

Likewise, it's reasonable for bcat2 to acknowledge that under Solich, continuing through current, we've been diced by a lot of very average quarterbacks. And that is not something to take pride in.

The problem is not getting diced by mediocre qb's. It's continuing to have it happen, not doing enough to stop it from happening again and again.
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L.C.
2/24/2016 6:03 AM
Monroe Slavin wrote:expand_more
There's not agreeing...and there's irrational unwillingness to acknowledge obvious truth.

I acknowl that the facilities have improved greatly under Solich and we now have a program whereas we had so many years of abysmal-what-is-this.

Likewise, it's reasonable for bcat2 to acknowledge that under Solich, continuing through current, we've been diced by a lot of very average quarterbacks. And that is not something to take pride in.

The problem is not getting diced by mediocre qb's. It's continuing to have it happen, not doing enough to stop it from happening again and again.

Then, of course, there is irrational unwillingness to acknowledge the inherent truth of things that were never true to begin with. It gets very tiresome playing the role of fact checker, but occasionally someone has to do it. So, Ohio is getting "diced by a lot of very average quarterbacks"?

The fact is that last year Ohio was 4th in pass-efficiency defense, at 120.7, and even then, barely behind the league leader, Toledo, at 119.0. Or, look at the individual games. 8 of the 12 quarterbacks Ohio played had worse games than their average for the year, and some were markedly worse. In fact, the only quarterback that might fit your description of a very average QB that had an above average day Ohio was Leidner of Minnesota. Meanwhile quarterbacks like Birdsong of Marshall, Woodson of Akron, Bahl of Miami, and Bollas of Kent were all awful, and quarterbacks like Linehan of Idaho and Licata of Buffalo were under their season averages.

My concern with the Cover-4 is the reverse. It makes life very difficult for average quarterbacks, but really good quarterbacks seem to be able to take advantage of it. The three best quarterbacks that Ohio has played in the last couple years, Johnson at BG, Terrell at WMU, and Cato last year at Marshall, all had very good days against it. Ohio did much better with it in 2015 than 2014, however, so hopefully they will continue to make progress.
Last Edited: 2/24/2016 6:05:49 AM by L.C.
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mid70sbobcat
2/24/2016 7:04 AM
L.C. wrote:expand_more
There's not agreeing...and there's irrational unwillingness to acknowledge obvious truth.

I acknowl that the facilities have improved greatly under Solich and we now have a program whereas we had so many years of abysmal-what-is-this.

Likewise, it's reasonable for bcat2 to acknowledge that under Solich, continuing through current, we've been diced by a lot of very average quarterbacks. And that is not something to take pride in.

The problem is not getting diced by mediocre qb's. It's continuing to have it happen, not doing enough to stop it from happening again and again.

Then, of course, there is irrational unwillingness to acknowledge the inherent truth of things that were never true to begin with. It gets very tiresome playing the role of fact checker, but occasionally someone has to do it. So, Ohio is getting "diced by a lot of very average quarterbacks"?

The fact is that last year Ohio was 4th in pass-efficiency defense, at 120.7, and even then, barely behind the league leader, Toledo, at 119.0. Or, look at the individual games. 8 of the 12 quarterbacks Ohio played had worse games than their average for the year, and some were markedly worse. In fact, the only quarterback that might fit your description of a very average QB that had an above average day Ohio was Leidner of Minnesota. Meanwhile quarterbacks like Birdsong of Marshall, Woodson of Akron, Bahl of Miami, and Bollas of Kent were all awful, and quarterbacks like Linehan of Idaho and Licata of Buffalo were under their season averages.

My concern with the Cover-4 is the reverse. It makes life very difficult for average quarterbacks, but really good quarterbacks seem to be able to take advantage of it. The three best quarterbacks that Ohio has played in the last couple years, Johnson at BG, Terrell at WMU, and Cato last year at Marshall, all had very good days against it. Ohio did much better with it in 2015 than 2014, however, so hopefully they will continue to make progress.
LC,

+10

But Monroe will come back with some other argument, citing hand picked stats or just his opinion (which he feels is fact).
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Deciduous Forest Cat
2/24/2016 9:55 AM
mid70sbobcat wrote:expand_more
There's not agreeing...and there's irrational unwillingness to acknowledge obvious truth.

I acknowl that the facilities have improved greatly under Solich and we now have a program whereas we had so many years of abysmal-what-is-this.

Likewise, it's reasonable for bcat2 to acknowledge that under Solich, continuing through current, we've been diced by a lot of very average quarterbacks. And that is not something to take pride in.

The problem is not getting diced by mediocre qb's. It's continuing to have it happen, not doing enough to stop it from happening again and again.

Then, of course, there is irrational unwillingness to acknowledge the inherent truth of things that were never true to begin with. It gets very tiresome playing the role of fact checker, but occasionally someone has to do it. So, Ohio is getting "diced by a lot of very average quarterbacks"?

The fact is that last year Ohio was 4th in pass-efficiency defense, at 120.7, and even then, barely behind the league leader, Toledo, at 119.0. Or, look at the individual games. 8 of the 12 quarterbacks Ohio played had worse games than their average for the year, and some were markedly worse. In fact, the only quarterback that might fit your description of a very average QB that had an above average day Ohio was Leidner of Minnesota. Meanwhile quarterbacks like Birdsong of Marshall, Woodson of Akron, Bahl of Miami, and Bollas of Kent were all awful, and quarterbacks like Linehan of Idaho and Licata of Buffalo were under their season averages.

My concern with the Cover-4 is the reverse. It makes life very difficult for average quarterbacks, but really good quarterbacks seem to be able to take advantage of it. The three best quarterbacks that Ohio has played in the last couple years, Johnson at BG, Terrell at WMU, and Cato last year at Marshall, all had very good days against it. Ohio did much better with it in 2015 than 2014, however, so hopefully they will continue to make progress.
LC,

+10

But Monroe will come back with some other argument, citing hand picked stats or just his opinion (which he feels is fact).
or more likely he'll say the exact same thing for the 8-billionth time
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Robert Fox
2/24/2016 10:20 AM
Bcat2 wrote:expand_more
For some reason I never see Ohio fans credit the opponent. The Blame Game is the favorite of the loudest on BA.
[/QUOTE]

Have to take issue with this one. I recall some acknowledgement of good opponents and dug up a few recent ones here.


from 9/26/15
I wonder if having Polling on that last drive would have made a difference. Give Minnesota credit, they made the plays on the last drive though.
from 10/1/15
Credit Akron's D for forcing the turnovers, but so far (**knock on wood**) our offense has done a great job of not turning the ball over, and I don't think Kron scores as easily on us as they did against ULL.

[QUOTE=Mark Lembright '85] from 12/19/15
SUTodd notwithstanding (and ASU can keep him), props to ASU as they hung in there and played a great game, even after losing their best player.
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Mark Lembright '85
2/24/2016 10:21 AM
I don't have a dog in this fight as I'm no QB guru. But, I'm not buying the occasional weakness of the offensive line last year as an excuse of Ohio's lackluster QB play. The better QBs, the playmaking QBs, overcome their offensive line's deficiencies to make the plays when the plays have to be made. They elevate their team. Neither Sprague nor Vick did that last year. They may have been efficient but there many times when the games called for being more than just efficient and Ohio just couldn't meet the task.

I will say this though-I was very impressed with Windham when he had to come into the last period of the Camelia Bowl against Appalachian State. For a 3rd string QB he didn't seem to shrink under the bright lights and the pressure of the situation. Will that translate over into this next season? I have no idea.
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Bcat2
2/24/2016 10:37 AM
Robert Fox wrote:expand_more
For some reason I never see Ohio fans credit the opponent. The Blame Game is the favorite of the loudest on BA.


Have to take issue with this one. I recall some acknowledgement of good opponents and dug up a few recent ones here.


from 9/26/15
I wonder if having Polling on that last drive would have made a difference. Give Minnesota credit, they made the plays on the last drive though.
from 10/1/15
Credit Akron's D for forcing the turnovers, but so far (**knock on wood**) our offense has done a great job of not turning the ball over, and I don't think Kron scores as easily on us as they did against ULL.

from 12/19/15
SUTodd notwithstanding (and ASU can keep him), props to ASU as they hung in there and played a great game, even after losing their best player.
Credit to Eagle66, C Money and Mark. I do believe they are representative of Ohio fans. Unfortunately the loudest are not such good sports. Thanks, I am pleased to be called on this one.
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