Ohio Football Topic
Topic: Football Study Hall's Ohio Preview
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Ted Thompson
4/15/2016 8:45 AM
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C Money
4/15/2016 9:40 AM
Note that he generally does his previews in reverse order (worst to first), which would put his prediction for us at 4th in the MAC and 2nd in the MACE.
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71 BOBCAT
4/15/2016 10:01 AM
After reading through this article I have only 1 concern relative to this author that would have elevated this piece to be outstanding and on point.
In his discussion around the 3 game, mid-season losses, he failed to mention the injury situation that was the real cause, i.e. line backer position. Once healthy we then won our last 3 games.
While I know no publication is as close to the team as we are, still the injury issue was big during the 3 game losing stretch.



GO BOBCATS
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PhiTau74
4/15/2016 11:14 AM
I'd wait and see how much of our defense is left after the Tennessee game, picked 2nd in the SEC and 10+ wins by ESPN.
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Cats-22
4/17/2016 10:26 AM
The article is missing some tidbits that you'd know if you were reading this site regularly, but still that was a great preview. Lots of interesting analysis.

He challenges my long-held belief that returners on the lines are more important than returners at positions like the secondary (which he ranks as the single most important factor). This is especially relevant for Ohio, since an amazing 7 of the top 9 players in the defensive backfield are gone for 2016, but a strong Dline is coming back.

Here's a separate article where he talks about the importance of returning experience in different categories. A couple of caveats, his findings are based on only a couple of years of data, and Phil Steele (who is as good at this as anyone) has said some things before that are the opposite of Connelly's findings. Steele says returning OL experience is a major factor, whereas Connelly finds sort of amazingly that it's a complete non-factor. (Connelly is counting total returning starts instead of total returning starters, which may be part of the explanation.)
http://www.sbnation.com/college-football/2016/2/5/1092191...
Last Edited: 4/17/2016 10:27:36 AM by Cats-22
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L.C.
4/17/2016 1:31 PM
Steele has an amazing track record as consistently the most accurate forecaster, year in, and year out. It doesn't matter if you pick 3 years, 5 years, or 10 years - the winner is always Phil Steele:
http://preseason.stassen.com/prediction-accuracy /
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