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Ohio Football Topic
Topic: BOWL GAMES??? BOWL GAMES???
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Pataskala
10/9/2016 11:04 AM
Yep, we're six weeks into the season and there are now several teams that have reached bowl eligibility. So it's time to start the annual vigil of bowl eligibility.

This weekend six teams became bowl eligible: Clemson, Mich, WMU, Wash, TxA&M, Bama

Ten teams have five wins and need only one win for eligibility: USF, Houston, Wake, Baylor, O$U, Neb, Boise, AZSt, Utah, Tenn

33 teams have four wins and need just two wins for eligibility: Navy, Memphis, Tulsa, NCSt, L'ville, FSU, VaTech, UNC, MiamiF, Pitt, WVU, Okla St, TCU, PSU, MD, Iowa, Wis, MTSU, ODU, SMiss, OHIO, Akron, Toledo, CMU, EMU, Wyoming, AFA, SDSU, Colo, Fla, Auburn, Ark, Troy. Georgia could get its fourth win this afternoon.

35 teams have three wins and need to win half or fewer of their remaining games to be eligible: UCF, Temps, UConn, Cincy, Tulane, BC, GaTech, Duke, Okla, KState, TxTech, Ind, Purdue, Minn, WKU, NTex, LaTech, Army, BYU, BSU, Colo St, Hawaii, Nev, Wash St, Stanford, USC, UCLA, Kentucky, Georgia, LSU, Miss, App St, GaSouth, Idaho, SBama. South Carolina could get its third win this afternoon.

So 84 teams are either eligible or need to win half or fewer of their remaining games to be eligible for one of the 80 bowl slots.
Last Edited: 10/9/2016 11:43:19 AM by Pataskala
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Victory
10/9/2016 12:50 PM
This is from teamrankings projections on bowl eligibility:

Alabama 100.0%
Boise State 100.0%
Clemson 100.0%
Houston 100.0%
Louisville 100.0%
Michigan 100.0%
Ohio State 100.0%
Tennessee 100.0%
Texas A&M 100.0%
Toledo 100.0%
Troy 100.0%
W Michigan 100.0%
Washington 100.0%
Baylor 99.9%
Nebraska 99.9%
S Florida 99.9%
Wisconsin 99.9%
Air Force 99.8%
San Diego St 99.8%
VA Tech 99.8%
App State 99.7%
Miami (FL) 99.7%
Middle Tenn 99.7%
Florida St 99.5%
Auburn 99.4%
Memphis 99.3%
BYU 98.5%
W Kentucky 98.1%
Florida 98.0%
Army 97.6%
W Virginia 97.6%
Oklahoma 97.4%
S Mississippi 96.6%
N Carolina 96.5%
Old Dominion 96.5%
Wake Forest 96.5%
Colorado 96.2%
Penn State 96.1%
Stanford 96.0%
Central Mich 95.9%
Utah 95.8%
LA Tech 95.5%
Mississippi 94.9%
Maryland 93.2%
Wash State 92.6%
Navy 91.9%
Akron 91.4%
Arizona St 91.4%
Oklahoma St 91.3%
Kansas St 90.3%
Ohio 89.8%
Georgia 89.3%
GA Southern 87.7%
Pittsburgh 86.9%
LSU 86.6%
Tulsa 85.9%
Wyoming 85.8%
Central FL 85.3%
NC State 85.2%
Iowa 83.1%
UCLA 80.6%
TX Christian 79.8%
Texas Tech 78.3%
Temple 78.2%
S Alabama 77.5%
Indiana 74.8%
USC 74.7%
Minnesota 74.6%
GA Tech 74.4%
E Michigan 69.5%
Missouri 68.9%
Arkansas 68.5%
Ball State 68.2%
Hawaii 56.1%
Texas 53.4%
Utah State 48.2%
TX-San Ant 46.8%
Idaho 45.2%
Northwestern 42.2%
S Carolina 39.4%
Connecticut 38.2%
Marshall 36.6%
Colorado St 35.3%
E Carolina 34.4%
Nevada 32.4%
Arkansas St 31.5%
UNLV 30.3%
New Mexico 29.8%
California 29.5%
Notre Dame 29.2%
Tulane 28.8%
Michigan St 28.7%
Cincinnati 26.6%
Georgia State 25.9%
Oregon 25.0%
Boston Col 24.8%
North Texas 24.8%
Miss State 22.8%
N Illinois 22.8%
LA Lafayette 22.2%
Kentucky 21.0%
Kent State 20.0%
Arizona 18.3%
Texas State 13.5%
Duke 10.9%
Vanderbilt 7.7%
Purdue 7.4%
Fla Atlantic 5.9%
LA Monroe 5.0%
Virginia 4.6%
Oregon St 4.1%
Rutgers 2.8%
Rice 2.7%
S Methodist 2.3%
Florida Intl 1.9%
N Mex State 1.6%
Illinois 1.5%
Iowa State 1.5%
Fresno St 1.4%
Syracuse 1.3%
TX El Paso 0.9%
Bowling Grn 0.6%
Buffalo 0.6%
Miami (OH) 0.6%
Charlotte 0.5%
San Jose St 0.4%
U Mass 0.1%
Kansas 0.0%

This adds up to the mean being a little less than 78 bowl eligible teams. This means that 6-6 will very probably get us a bowl.

For just the MAC expect 6 or 7

W Michigan 100.0%
Toledo 100.0%
Central Mich 95.9%
Akron 91.4%
Ohio 89.8%
E Michigan 69.5%
Ball State 68.2%
N Illinois 22.8%
Kent State 20.0%
Bowling Grn 0.6%
Buffalo 0.6%
Miami (OH) 0.6%
6.594
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Mark Lembright '85
10/9/2016 1:37 PM
Say what you will about Ohio, Ohio will go bowling and Michigan State might not.
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OhioStunter
10/10/2016 1:30 PM
Same with Notre Dame. They'd need to go 4-2 just to get to 6-6.
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OU_Country
10/10/2016 2:01 PM
Victory wrote:expand_more
This adds up to the mean being a little less than 78 bowl eligible teams. This means that 6-6 will very probably get us a bowl.

For just the MAC expect 6 or 7

W Michigan 100.0%
Toledo 100.0%
Central Mich 95.9%
Akron 91.4%
Ohio 89.8%
E Michigan 69.5%
Ball State 68.2%
N Illinois 22.8%
Kent State 20.0%
Bowling Grn 0.6%
Buffalo 0.6%
Miami (OH) 0.6%
6.594

6-6 gets a team a bowl game complete with participation medals. Thankfully I'm confident OUr team will do better than 6-6 so I don't have to feel like they got a participation medal.
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Urban Bobcat
10/11/2016 4:33 PM
There are too many darn bowls.
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ExCat21
10/11/2016 4:49 PM
For just the MAC expect 6 or 7

W Michigan 100.0%
Toledo 100.0%
Central Mich 95.9%
Akron 91.4%
Ohio 89.8%
E Michigan 69.5%
Ball State 68.2%
N Illinois 22.8%
Kent State 20.0%
Bowling Grn 0.6%
Buffalo 0.6%
Miami (OH) 0.6%
6.594



This looks different than most years. I know EMU catches a lot of flack for being bad consistently. Congrats to them for a good season thus far. I hope they get an opportunity to go bowling (not at our expense though). They made over their uniform combinations, changed the field turf a different color, coined their stadium the "Factory" as hardwork for the motto. Kuddos to them for attempting to revive and rebrand. It even led to a high 3-star signee in Grissom as a dual-threat QB.
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GoCats105
10/12/2016 8:23 AM
Urban Bobcat wrote:expand_more
There are too many darn bowls.
It's looking like this year is gonna be another year where under .500 teams are going to get in bowls because there is a shortage of teams. Then it's based on APR.

I agree. Too many bowls. There are multiple bowls games at the same location in some instances. That's stupid.
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OU_Country
10/12/2016 12:28 PM
The Bowl Game situation isn't going away, or so it would seem. I just don't know how some of these bowl games make any money. I also have a hard time grasping how the TV networks make any money on the smaller bowl games.

Ideally, I wish we'd see a scenario where "Bowl Eligible" is changed to seven wins, so it means a little more. I know that probably isn't changing.
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