the league would have to get a lot better to even sniff two teams going to the dance.
Strongly disagree.
To get two bids, you really only need one really good team. Then that really good team needs to get upset in the conference finals. The rest of the conference could be crap in this scenario and you could still get two-bids.
It's arguments like this that make me a huge believer in analytics.
False. If Ohio goes 27-3 this year and they DON'T win the MAC tournament...they most likely are NIT bound.
You have to be a really good team....AND play a somewhat decent schedule. Beating up on Cleveland State, UW-Milwaukee, WKU and Tennessee Tech will not get you an at-large bid. When your "best" game is at Georgia Tech you are putting all your eggs in the MAC Tourney basket.
Ask Murray State a few years ago when they went 27-6....won 25 straight...lost in OVC title game and had RPI of 47. They did NOT get a bid because their SOS was 175th.
You HAVE to play someone....and ideally you HAVE to beat someone.
That's what is so frustrating about this year's hoop schedule. We might have an at-large worthy roster....but that schedule totally jams Ohio up. No way they get an at-large with that schedule.
Jim Christian had his faults...but I will say this (and honestly it might be more of a pat on the back to Groce if he set up schedule before he bolted)....but the year after Ohio's Sweet 16 run, the Cats played AT Memphis, AT Oklahoma, AT UMass, AT Robert Morris, AT Belmont...and had home games with Oakland, Richmond and St. Bonnie. All were Top 100 except RMU, SBU & Oakland who were all Top 200. That's an at-large worthy schedule if they had taken care of some business.
Instead they went 0-5 in those road games and that killed any chance they had before they started in the MAC where they went 15-1 (Belmont was BracketBuster mid-season)