Why is that depressing? What has Ohio done to prove it should be in the discussion?
In the event that the Big Twelve does expand by taking members from the AAC, the AAC will need to take members from another conference, most likely CUSA or the MAC. What would the AAC be looking for? Here are some things that they might look for in a school:
1. Competitive teams in major sports
2. Good facilities in major sports
3. Strong attendance in major sports
4. Either a strong local media market, or a name that conveys broader appeal than to just a single city.
5. A stable athletic department
Does Ohio meet these tests? Not all of them, but probably enough of them that Ohio would at least be one of the teams considered. Are there other teams in the MAC and CUSA that meet them better? Time will tell. Would Ohio be interested in moving the AAC if given the chance? I don't know.
As a fan, I would not be interested in Ohio being in the AAC. If you take out the top 2-3 teams, that's not a very appealing situation if you ask me. The only advantage is the TV contract, but how long would that contract last if UC, UConn, UCF, or Memphis weren't part of the conference?
I'm with you here Country. If in fact the AAC breaks up, those schools will either filter back into Conference USA 2.0 or need somewhere else to go. I think the MAC needs to start thinking about how to clean up the pieces. Like now. It seems silly but this whole standing pat thing from the beginning could pay dividends.
I doubt this would break up the AAC. It has 11 regular members (plus Navy for football). At most, the AAC would lose three schools to the Big 12. I don't think that would send them scrambling to form another conference. Besides, would it really benefit the MAC to take on any of the schools that don't get into the Big 12?
As I said above, I'm curious what the AAC looks like after this. I've read articles that the Big 12 is taking 4 schools. I've read articles that it will only take 2. I've read articles claiming certain schools seem like locks while other articles say the exact opposite. Even UC, who appears like a lock to me, it still considered far from a sure-thing by many. Without knowing who the Big 12 takes, it is hard to play out all the different scenarios.
If the Big 12 takes UC and Houston (some swear is unlikely bc of Texas schools) and then grabs BYU and Boise (again, not sure how likely either are) then lets say UConn defects elsewhere (but to WHERE????) and Memphis defects elsewhere (again, WHERE?) and UCF defects (WHERE?) leaving the AAC like Country proposed above... That would leave:
ECU
USF
Temple
Navy
SMU
Tulane
Tulsa
That IS a conference I'm interested in IF (BIG IF) contracts are put in place that make it absurdly costly for a member to leave the conference. I think it is becoming increasingly evident that standing pat has more benefits than a lot of people first admitted. Beyond the convenience of not changing member schools, I think it helps the MAC's brand that is has been mostly constant.
Now with that said, the MAC hasn't been completely stable. Temple and UMass have both come and gone in the lasts decade. Had either been full-time members, committing to men's basketball, that is a complete game-changer in the sense that I doubt any MAC fans would not take them back in a heartbeat.
If the MAC can add full-time members from this, particularly Temple, I'm all-in. Where do all these AAC schools with hopes of the Big 12 turn when they aren't the "chosen ones" for the Big 12?
It doesn't hurt to ask.
Last Edited: 7/24/2016 7:47:26 AM by The Optimist