In terms of these ranking services, sometimes you have to sit down and look at the past to get an understanding of the level of accuracy they have. I posted this over on the recruiting thread, but I thought it might be worth re-posting it on the main forum. Here is a look back at 2013, when Ohio had three 3-star recruits and a host of unrated recruits. How have the recruits from 2013 panned out over time?
Here is who they are:
3-star recruits: Murdock, Wyatt, and Quallen
High 2-star recruits: Morgan, D. Brown, C. Brown, Porter, Sayles, Alexander
Low 2-star recruits: J. Brown, Aloese, McLeod
Unrated: Poling, Leavitt, Smart, Mangen, Basham, Wood, Cope
Now let's score them, and see the correlation between the prediction, and how they have actually worked out. As a scoring system, let's give 5 points for a player with all-MAC honors, 4 for a starter, 3 points for a second team player, 2 for an occasional player, and 1 for a player that never played, and ignore non-qualifiers. Here is what I get:
3-star players: 1,1,2 (average 1.33)
high 2-star players: 3,3,1,3,5,1 (average 2.67)
low 2-star players: 3, 3, 4 (average 3.33)
unrated players: 5, na, 3, 4, 5, 4, 4 (average 4.16)
Yep, that's right. There is a perfect inverse correlation. The higher the rating, the less likely they have contributed. These ratings are fun to follow, but please try not to take them too seriously.
Last Edited: 2/8/2017 1:27:55 AM by L.C.