Thanks! As I read it, it sound like a bunch of hooey. When you explain it that way, it makes good sense.
It would make even better sense if it were used that way, and had much accuracy behind it. As a practical matter, here is how the athletes at the lower end get rated, from my observation:
ESPN - doesn't rate them at all. They try to focus on rating only the high 3-star and up athletes that end up at P5 schools. Typically only a couple recruits that end up at Ohio were rated by ESPN
Rivals - They used to rate the lower end with relative rigor, and on a scale of 4.9-5.4 for 2 star athletes. However, they have cut back on that dramatically. They officially rate them now on a 5.2-5.4 scale, but I've not seen a 5.2 in a long time, and they don't rate a lot of people at all. Last year they deleted their recruiting pages for G5 schools, and no longer even bother to cover schools, unless they have an active forum for that school. Thus, there is no Ohio recruiting page, and athletes recruited by Ohio do not get rated at all.
Scout.com - Offers no discrimination. You are a 2-star, 3-star, or 4-star. As a result, virtually all Ohio recruits are rated "2-star", which gives no insight at all as to which recruits are the better ones. That isn't very useful, but it is honest; they have no clue which are the better recruits.
247Sports - They do make an honest effort to actually evaluate every athlete on a scale of 70-100. The resulting scale, unfortunately, implies more accuracy than is actually there.
Once in awhile I do an analysis of the ratings by the different services, and compare them to what we actually see on the field for Ohio recruits. Which services are the most accurate? Here is my latest analysis, which covered the classes from 2012-14:
http://www.bobcatattack.com/messageboard/topic.asp?FromPa... ESPN had a positive correlation, but a very small sample of players actually rated. Scout and Rivals had negative correlations - higher rated players were less likely to turn out to be good players than low rated players. 247Sports was uncorrelated. Combining all the ratings into the 247Sports Composite rating and you get a clear negative correlation. Note that that doesn't mean there aren't high rated players who do well, nor low rated players who don't do well, but consistently the very best players were the totally unrated players.