On the surface the NIU/UMass trade off sounds alright. Delete the worst basketball school in the MAC and add one which is reguarly going to be in the upper half of the confernce. The MAC can roll with 12 without having to need additional members.
But the problem is where can the MAC go for new members because without NIU and a Chicago presence nobody else is going to want to join it. Illinois St isn't going to want to do it with NIU or the Dakota schools. Horizon League schools wouldn't be motivated to join the MAC now they have NIU. The MAC long ago made a decision to only admit FBS members while the AAC, MWC and PAC-12 have added basketball schools where it benefited the conference. This is much worse for the conference than if Buffalo had left in terms of strategic importance.
At this point the MAC is not going to pick up the pieces if the AAC implodes. The might try to add some MAC schools. If they added Buffalo and UMass that would take the MAC down to 10 and almost exclusively in Ohio/MI. You won't have CUSA schools wanting to be a part of that and what is left then of the TV deal? At this point we have to take a ticket out if presented. The SBC could be an option since Marshall is in that conference and Ohio fits the SBC profile as a college town with good fan support. Marshall could be a natural travel partner in our case. CUSA is probably going to lose Western Ky and Middle Tenn making the geography unattractive there.
SBC is the strongest football conference out of the G5 and might lose programs to the AAC which is unstable. I don't know of anything better to aim for but something better could of course always materialize.
They almost have no choice but to look East now. Can you pry Temple from the AAC? Doubtful. Maybe throw a bone at Delaware and pitch the UMass connection as being a better travel partner and not having to go all the way to Texas for games in CUSA? Does Holy Cross want to move up? It's slim pickings over that way unless the MAC gets really aggressive, which they have proven they aren't.
I can't see MTSU suddenly changing their mind to help with the WKU thing, and WKU isn't about to let little brother EKU in with them. Marshall ain't leaving the Sun Belt - they're too like-minded and fit better there anyway.
I think the MAC really needs to take a hard look in the mirror and figure out what they want to be. Because whatever they're doing now ain't working.
Last Edited: 12/16/2024 9:52:21 PM by GoCats105