... Therefore, I think that Ohio must bring in a similar type of situation as Frank; otherwise, I think this program will sink back into mediocrity. Unfortunately, Ohio continues to be hurt by the fact that it is stuck in the middle of nowhere. We just don't have the media market needed to get National attention without a larger than life coach.
More than just not having a large media market, Ohio doesn't have a strong natural recruiting area. I'm convinced that the long term success of a program is generally determined more by it's natural recruiting areas than any other factor. That is why you always see teams like Ohio, Michigan, Penn State, Alabama, Florida, Texas, and USC at the top, and they can change coaches, and still end up near the top, and why other teams are often mired at the bottom.
I believe that teams may have increased success at times because of a specific coach, or increased lack of success because of a coach, but over the long term will drift back to a level of success related to the talent that is produced in their natural recruiting area. In Ohio's case, that means that, in the absence of other factors, the tendency would be for Ohio to drift back to the bottom of the conference, since SE Ohio produces far less talent than SW Ohio, NW Ohio, NE Ohio, Michigan, Indiana, or Illinois. One of the things that frustrated and confused me for a long time was how long it has taken for Ohio's recruiting to improve, but I've grown to understand that issue a bit more over the years.
For Ohio to have success, long term, the ideal would be to build on the idea that their natural recruiting area is the entire state, and not just SE Ohio. That has proven to be difficult, or impossible. When Miami and UC were down, Ohio was able to recruit SW Ohio fairly well, but now that Miami and UC are recruiting better, Ohio is relying a great deal on recruits from around the country. That isn't necessarily bad, but sustaining it is difficult. That, in turn, is a special risk in replacing the entire staff. The existing staff has been building connections to high schools in Western Pennsylvania, Georgia, and Florida. A new staff will have ties to other areas, but will have to start over. If Ohio had a strong natural recruiting area, there would be a lot less risk in replacing the whole staff.
I'm not saying that replacing the whole staff would necessarily take Ohio back to the bottom of the MAC, just that, if Ohio decides to do it, they better be looking for a replacement that is not only a good coach, but who has strong ties of his own to good recruiting areas. They need to be someone who can either continue to improve recruiting in other areas of the state, or who can recruit strongly on a nationwide area. Recruiting is always important, but especially so when a school is in an area that doesn't have a strong natural recruiting base.
Last Edited: 6/21/2018 12:48:14 PM by L.C.