Given that it is early February, this one should be a cake walk. If we meet again in March though, you can bet we are toast.
Love it.
As simple as this is, I think it's pretty much going to determine our wins and losses the entire year: can we make shots? I think we've shown that, defensively, we can play well enough to beat most teams in the MAC (probably excluding Buffalo, because they are Buffalo). Can we make enough perimeter shots to win? Can we make just an average amount of free throws? Looking at our MAC losses, we've been "in" about all of them and just making a few shots could have flipped them to W's. NIU both times, we held KSU to 66 and the game was close throughout but couldn't score, Toledo and BG weren't close. We could just as easily be 5-3 as 3-5 if we could make a few shots. I know, that's basketball, whoever makes more shots usually wins.
We've averaged 58.6 points in our MAC losses.
We've averaged 76.3 points in our MAC wins.
It stands to reason if we can hit Lava Cake country, we have a pretty good chance to win.