So do plenty of people here. They're just reaching a different conclusion than you.

Actually, scientists are saying to. . .

That's the advice of the CDC, too. I guess you got there through independent thought and not being a sheeple. A whole bunch of other people got that advice from scientists. Oops, sorry, I meant "scientists" because I too hate people with credentials that I lack.

The same scientists also have paid attention to what's happened in other countries and are suggesting social distancing to flatten the curve. Some politicians -- in fact, most of them at this point -- have accepted that as the proper course of action. The White House is even advising people to avoid large gatherings, even though a couple of weeks ago this was a liberal hoax.

And why? Here's why:

In Wuhan:

January 23rd -- 444 confirmed cases.
January 30th -- 4,9003 cases
February 6th -- 22,112 cases.

In Italy:

February 22nd -- 62 cases
February 29th -- 888 cases
March 6th -- 4,636 cases

In the US, where we have tested a fraction of the people Italy and China has:

March 1 -- 70 cases
March 11 - 1000+ cases

What's the growth curve on this thing look like to you? And how have countries like China and Italy gone about slowing it? By not being sheeple and washing their hands a lot? Or through strategic social distancing?

There are 115,000 cases of this worldwide and there have been 4,633 deaths thus far. I'm not sure I'd say that this is finally 'spilling over and effecting real people' now that the NCAA tournament's gonna have to be watched on TV. I would say all of those deaths might have effected some people in real ways. Or that the fact that we just plunged into global recession is going to effect people in real ways. But I guess basketball crowd sizes also are important.

But ultimately, this is pretty simple:

You do this correctly and proactively and you return to normalcy in a matter of weeks. You wing it because you're self-conscious about being a 'sheeple' and you risk much greater consequences. How do you justify that risk, exactly?

Has BLSS ever commented on Ohio Athletics? I'm genuinely curious because all I remember ever seeing you off the top of my head is in long off-topic debates.

Once or thrice. Don't get the chance to watch much, honestly. And my interests these days align more with what is here considered 'off topic.' I find conversation about how sports and 'culture' intersect far more interesting than pure sports talk.

And there's not really good media options out there for real, detailed analysis of Ohio sports so I come back here often to stay up-to-date. I have less to offer on Bobcat Athletics because there are very few games available where I live and I don't really have the time these days to stay up on most athletics. I used to, for instance, watch 70 Knicks games a year. The last two years I've watched maybe 5.

And frankly, I find the crowd here an interesting one. There just aren't that many spaces left these days where people have such a variety of opinions to offer and I like the level of conversation here. Most places are echo chambers. Because folks are drawn here by Ohio sports, the resulting cultural conversations are much more interesting because people bring varying ideas.

Facts

Just for context, it's been doubling every 2 days, give or take. So if we assume that epidemiologist's numbers take shape from here, it would look like:

March 11 - 1,267
March 17 - 2,534
March 23 - 5,068
March 30 - 10,136

On the other hand if it continues to grow at the rate it currently has (from 159 on 3/4 to 1267 today is a growth rate of ~8x/week) we'd be looking at:

March 11 - 1,267
March 17 - 10,136
March 23 - 81,088
March 30 - 648,704

That's obviously extreme. In China and Italy, the growth rate week-to-week started out high (11x rate in China, 14x in Italy) and then fell (4.5x in China, 5.22 in Italy). So I'd expect week three to fall to that level-ish now that we're starting to take proactive measures here.

But, to be clear, I'm talking out of my ass like everybody else. So I don't really know. Just basing this on the numbers from elsewhere.

I think your head knows more than your ass in this case! ;-) I believe your analysis is spot on.

This is an outstanding post that describes more than a few of us on here. His second paragraph is quite profound.

+1 Agreed!

Update to the lackey times, pence just changed course and said we need to ramp up testing, Ohio just received 1,000 test from the cdc, the administration has been lying to us. Dr. Fauci jumped ship and said there will be millions of infections.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.cleveland.com/healthfit/...

We will have thousands of more cases (pence and trump curve 100,000). No OEM would tell you to stick to political talking points like saying only people over 70 or with chronic conditions will get sick. https://apple.news/ArjfNCV0MSMSjJ69_OJJJZQ
This is the biggest nightmare for emergency management, thousands of people needing beds and ventilators and the healthcare system being overwhelmed and healthcare professionals not having enough disposable mask, hence they are making space on military bases and there will be tent hospitals. In Italy the hospitals are overwhelmed and people are dying in quarantine. https://apple.news/AJ_WyfnEkTzmjQsMeqBKKYg

Read what I posted.

First off, what I said was we were told one reason for the spike in reported cases was due to expanded testing.

More tests,more positive results.
That's basic statistics.
That's exactly what Gov. Cuomo has been saying for the past week.

I also never said anything about age.

What I said was we were told that 80% of the people who test positive,
and don't have underlying health issues, will show no or mild symptoms.

The Municipality and County I mentioned are both Democratic.
They work with the state OEM.
Our Gov. and both houses of our state legislature are also Democratic.

Can't see their OEM people presenting "political talking points" for the Administration.

Donovan Mitchell tested positive and he went to the arena last night, Emmanuel Mudiay has also tested positive, hopefully they did not sign autographs or high five with fans.

Yep, think you're right Ted. With the over-reaction to cancel all conference tournaments now made, natural progression to just cancel the whole thing coming next.

This reminds me exactly like that time we cancelled all sports, banned or cancelled all public gatherings, closed schools and businesses causing a global recession due to another global pandemic called the H1N1 Swine flu back in 2009.

You know that one where 59 MILLION people in the USA alone were infected and 12,000 Americans died?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2009_flu_pandemic_in_the_Un...

(compared to the current 1200+ COVID-19 cases)

https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-in-us.html

No?? You don't remember that? Yeah, me neither.

But don't get in your cars! I mean...don't leave your houses! I mean...TO THE BASEMENTS!

They were just talking on the radio about the comparisons between the Swine Flu and Corona.
And how each was handled by the media.

To be honest,I don't recall any of this kind of hysteria and hand wringing for Swine Flu ,even with the number of people who died.

They were also saying that there is virtually nothing being reported on the number of fatalities.

According to the news story,as of today there are a total of 38 deaths,with 26 from the one nursing home in Washington State.