and the cancellations and fan decisions are not being done in isolation. to much economic impact. no way the nba suspends business putting thousands out of work (arena workers etc) without talking and getting advise from the administration, cdc, etc.

These first four pages in a week are going to be so freaking cringeworthy.

Well let’s see, who agrees with me? Ivy League University’s, the largest university in the US, the numbers from countries that have seen their numbers start to plateau. The medi’s and lackeys, they don’t understand that pandemics can kill people. One in seven American adults could have to be hospitalized, this would effect general healthcare. The biggest problem is that kids and some young adults are asymptomatic so they could infect their parents and grandparents. Pandemics can kill our economy and they can kill our consumer sentiment. This week airlines have cut their capacities, they were hiring, now they are laying people off. Let’s just look at some potential collateral damage. They could cancel their airplane orders which would lead to layoffs at various aerospace companies, (Boeing would probably be most affected). Let’s say that the oil consumption continues to decrease, because people have to stay home. We will have to shut down rigs in the bakken and Permian basin that are not profitable when oil is under $45 per barrel, which will lead to huge layoffs in oil and oil services industry. Let’s say companies that service the oil industry continue to decline, you could see huge commercial loan defaults. I have a uncle who worked at MIT and he might be smartest professor in the world and he has the record for working at MIT so I get this, the experts are surprised by my knowledge, just wash your hands and we will hold back testing until after the election and everything will be ok. The liberals are just too smart for their own good if we have thousands of deaths and a huge recession it will be because people didn’t wash their hands.

I used to, for instance, watch 70 Knicks games a year. The last two years I've watched maybe 5.

Just for context, it's been doubling every 2 days, give or take. So if we assume that epidemiologist's numbers take shape from here, it would look like:

March 11 - 1,267
March 17 - 2,534
March 23 - 5,068
March 30 - 10,136

On the other hand if it continues to grow at the rate it currently has (from 159 on 3/4 to 1267 today is a growth rate of ~8x/week) we'd be looking at:

March 11 - 1,267
March 17 - 10,136
March 23 - 81,088
March 30 - 648,704

That's obviously extreme. In China and Italy, the growth rate week-to-week started out high (11x rate in China, 14x in Italy) and then fell (4.5x in China, 5.22 in Italy). So I'd expect week three to fall to that level-ish now that we're starting to take proactive measures here.

But, to be clear, I'm talking out of my ass like everybody else. So I don't really know. Just basing this on the numbers from elsewhere.

Well, yeah, it's the Knicks.

NCAA suspending all games coming in 3....2.....

Read what I posted.

First off, what I said was we were told one reason for the spike in reported cases was due to expanded testing.

More tests,more positive results.
That's basic statistics.
That's exactly what Gov. Cuomo has been saying for the past week.

I also never said anything about age.

What I said was we were told that 80% of the people who test positive,
and don't have underlying health issues, will show no or mild symptoms.

The Municipality and County I mentioned are both Democratic.
They work with the state OEM.
Our Gov. and both houses of our state legislature are also Democratic.

Can't see their OEM people presenting "political talking points" for the Administration.

I have a masters in emergency management, I studied in NYC and many of my professors were from New Jersey and they will be be opening EOC’s in New York and New Jersey. We have done tabletop exercises and part of our messaging is that we follow the whole community approach meaning that everyone in the community is a stakeholder and they should never give concrete information or speculate because facts on the ground change. What Cuomo is doing in New Rochelle is an example, they have tents distributing information and they will have tents triaging and testing soon. This will lessen the burden on hospitals and help establish an orderly process. The head of the Port Authority has the virus, so we all have to be careful and follow directions, since we did not ramp up testing in the beginning, we have to concede that there will be many more cases, we need to use social distancing to slow the spread. We can’t do that by minimizing what the virus is and who it will affect?

I've been a member of OEM teams going back to 1999.

I'm an engineer,whose expertise is in Flood Damage Assessment and Infrastructure Restoration.
So,when it comes to OEM,those are the only things I feel qualified to offer an assessment of.

The comments in my post were based on listening to the experts who gave the presentation on the Coronavirus Tuesday night.

Personally,I have found tabletop exercises, for things like a flood, to be of limited value,since storms rarely follow any kind of script.

In Northern New Jersey,Hurricane Irene had "tidal influence",even though the Army Corps said that couldn't happen.

Hurricane Sandy had a Tidal Surge,that flooded "backwards".
Again,that went against ever predicted model.

Our OEM people tend to rely on what they've learned from previous disasters.
They have extensive Operation Manuals for pretty much every type of event.

After everything gets back to "normal" we do an "After Action Review" to go over what went right,what went wrong and amend our Operation Manuals for the next time.