i think now that we are using the NET not the RPI the more league games is a good way to go. If you look at this year and examine it. Toledo is like the 12th team out of tourney at worst. If it was not for league loses to a bad team they would of been really close. a lot of good MAC teams are in the 120 and above NET a loss to one of those teams does not kill you.
Wins against SWAC, MEAC and NAIA teams are wasted games basically you cant gain anything from them.
I think scheduling is tough. No one wants to go on the road. The road is tough to win everywhere in a normal non COVID year. I think you should shoot to get some middle of the road teams to come visit year. Very little chance to get a power 5 at home
The thing that the .NET recognizes, as it was made by Google analytics people, is that when a bubble level team plays a road game in the low 100s that it has close to a 50/50 chance of losing. So if the committee went by the fair risk/reward analysis at that level of the .NET ratings then you might be right. The thing is that is absolutely doesn't. It seems that they care mostly about top 50 wins (not winning percentage against top 50 teams but actual number of wins which is ungodly stupid). If it isn't a top 100 team they really only care how may you lose. So since we know, as the .NET ratings do, the high probability of losing to teams 100-160 and you get no credit if you win with the committee then these are the absolute worst teams to have on your schedule if you are looking for a at large bid. The thing is that they MAC is chalk full of them. Often more than any conference. A lot of years there are about 9 of them. Literally, all but the top 1 or 2 and bottom 1 or 2 might be in that range. If you are looking for an at large bid then MAC games, other pretty good mid-majors and bottom level high majors are the last teams that you want on your schedule to try to get an at large.
Last Edited: 4/4/2021 8:29:33 PM by Victory