I see a lot of rosy, best case scenarios on BA. There's a lot of talent, but also a few concerns on this team. Here's my take:
Jason Preston was (debatably) one of the top 10 players this program has ever seen. His loss will be felt. When he was playing, literally everything moved through him. His abilities improved the offensive stats of every other player on the team. Dwight does not have the season he had without him. Lots of wide-open 3 point looks for everybody, largely thanks to him.
Jason Carter had a really bad last year, on a so-so team (frankly he was a big part of the reason they were a so-so team). He had pretty average results the year prior to that. It was reported he had a pretty bad injury in '20-'21, so maybe he'll recover to his form of '18-'19. That could happen, especially with the step down in competition. Statistically, however, it's probably more likely he'll settle into a player somewhere between his high and low points. If he ends up having a sub-40% FG%, and a 20% 3P%, he will seriously hurt Ohio's results, not help.
I'm a big fan of both Roderick and McDay and expect both to progress nicely. That doesn't always happen, however. Steps back can and do happen. I don't think that's particularly likely, but it's possible.
Sears has obvious talent. He also has serious work to do on his shot. When he becomes the driver of the offense, that flaw will be more exposed. I also worry (a little) that he may take too may ill-advised drives into a sea of bigs, rather than running the offense to get to a higher percentage shot. Hopefully that doesn't materialize.
In the 4 game stretch Preston missed in Dec/Jan, Ohio was 2-2, including a home loss to BGSU, squeaking by a wretched N Illinois at home, and getting clobbered by Toledo. Of course, the Akron game Preston missed later on was a real pleasure to watch.
For Dwight, he obviously was working through some injuries last year. If he can heal up, it will be quite nice to see him actually be able to jump.
So IMHO it's very possible that this group is a MAC tournament semi-final loss kind of team. Of course, like the rosy best case scenarios, it's also possible that everyone keeps growing, or returns to form, and we have another excellent campaign. Of course, like everyone else, I'm hoping for the latter. I won't be too shocked if it's the former, though. Either way, I'm excited to see this group. I doubt anyone's going to argue they don't have potential.
Last Edited: 7/25/2021 3:33:51 PM by Cleveburg Bri