Being the 18th best conference in the country, I don't see how the selection committee can keep the MAC from having two or three teams make the dance.
Did you see 14-9 Virginia win at Duke last night? So now, Virginia improved their chance to sneak in to the dance dramatically. Alabama (14-9/4-6 has a good chance to get in) ...LSU is 16-6/4-7... Iowa 15-7/5-6... TCU 15-5/4-4... Florida 15-8/5-5...
Teams with a losing conference record from the p-5 world get in before mid-majors with sterling records who don't win the conference tourney. Teams like Iowa, Bama, Florida, etc have to really collapse down the stretch to not make it in. It would take a number of them being horrible down the home stretch to have leagues like the MAC get a second bid. Morehead State 19-6/11-1 will probably get screwed. North Texas 16-4/9-1, Chattanooga 19-5/9-2, Cleveland St. 16-5/9-2 ...all candidates to get screwed and settle for the NIT.