Ohio Basketball Topic
Topic: The Rotation
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GraffZ06
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Posted: 10/29/2025 3:40 PM
I don't hate Sheldon at all. I'm fine with him playing a role coming off the bench as a backup ball handler. And if hes hitting from 3 that day, give him some extra run. If not, no big deal.

He's just too small (rebounding), too slow (allows guys to drive past him and either get to the rim or force rotations/fouls and/or step back or kick out 3s) and not a CONSISTENTLY good enough 3pt shooter to make up for it.

We will be a better team when either a) he consistently shoots the 3 at a 40%+ clip or b) one of Conners, Fisher, Burris, Kelly become ready for starters minutes.

I tend to agree him starting is a hedge on the fact those other guys aren't ready YET. Hopefully that changes as the season progresses.
Andrew Ruck
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Posted: 10/30/2025 8:34 AM
I've been a bigger Sheldon advocate than most over the years. I am as disappointed in the shooting as anyone but I think he does a lot of good things throughout a game. Off the ball, he has good positioning and senses. And with the ball he has good handles and vision. I think we see somewhat of a resurgence in his shooting this season, though not the 40+ we all expected of him when he first arrived on campus.
FJC31
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Posted: 10/30/2025 9:24 AM
GraffZ06 wrote:expand_more
I tend to agree him starting is a hedge on the fact those other guys aren't ready YET. Hopefully that changes as the season progresses.
I know it was a young team with not many options in 2019, but Roderick and McDay for example, were thrown into the fire and figured it out as freshman. McDay specifically was playing close to 30mpg and Roderick was playing 19pmpg.

Since then, AJB was the only freshman who averaged more than 20mpg. Elmore only got 15mpg and Hadaway less than 10mpg.

Evans clearly wasn't ready a season ago and Burris was hurt. Elliot looks the part of a major contributor, but even then Boals was slow to rip the band-aid off. He didn't hit the 20 minute mark in a meaningful game last year until the end of January.

Are none of the freshman, Kuany, Burris, Evans, really not ready (and why not for the latter 2)? Or this a recent Boals thing? We have a lot of seniors on this year's team, I would think that would ease the learning curve and take the pressure off of them to just play their game.

We were a better team in the past when AJB played more his freshman year. The experience that Roderick and McDay got played a huge role for their individual and team success the following season.
FearLeon
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Posted: 10/31/2025 2:57 PM
Simmons weight issue has been brought up several times. The team group photo was released today. Be your own judge, but it looks like he is carrying a few extra pounds from his Toledo days.
Last Edited: 10/31/2025 3:18:49 PM by FearLeon
GraffZ06
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Posted: 11/1/2025 2:17 AM
FJC31 wrote:expand_more
I tend to agree him starting is a hedge on the fact those other guys aren't ready YET. Hopefully that changes as the season progresses.
I know it was a young team with not many options in 2019, but Roderick and McDay for example, were thrown into the fire and figured it out as freshman. McDay specifically was playing close to 30mpg and Roderick was playing 19pmpg.

Since then, AJB was the only freshman who averaged more than 20mpg. Elmore only got 15mpg and Hadaway less than 10mpg.

Evans clearly wasn't ready a season ago and Burris was hurt. Elliot looks the part of a major contributor, but even then Boals was slow to rip the band-aid off. He didn't hit the 20 minute mark in a meaningful game last year until the end of January.

Are none of the freshman, Kuany, Burris, Evans, really not ready (and why not for the latter 2)? Or this a recent Boals thing? We have a lot of seniors on this year's team, I would think that would ease the learning curve and take the pressure off of them to just play their game.

We were a better team in the past when AJB played more his freshman year. The experience that Roderick and McDay got played a huge role for their individual and team success the following season.
I honestly think it boils down to defense and trust. I too, want/think the best thing is for Kelly to emerge and be our starting SF. I'd be willing to take some lumps early, even it isn't perfect, for the long game payoff. Apparently he/others just aren't there yet in Boals eyes. You'd have to ask Jeff why.

I will also say we know Jeff likes to play "positionless" basketball, with few set plays, so defenses can't switch/rotate/focus on specific players. There has to be a level of knowledge, feel and trust in a system like that too that I'm sure takes some adjusting for 18 year old kids who are used to being "the man" in HS.

Seems in the early going this year, and recent years, Jeff has valued experience and trust to not muck up the system over raw (albeit sometimes unpolished/unfinished) talent.
Bobcat Love's Sense of Shame
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Posted: 11/1/2025 9:02 AM
FearLeon wrote:expand_more
Simmons weight issue has been brought up several times. The team group photo was released today. Be your own judge, but it looks like he is carrying a few extra pounds from his Toledo days.
It's possible he's put on the wrong kind of weight since then, but his Instagram has a ton of pictures from summer workouts, and a few shirtless ones, too. It doesn't look like fat to me. He's big, for sure, but it doesn't look like bad weight.

Photos are public if anybody else wants to be a creep.
Last Edited: 11/1/2025 9:03:40 AM by Bobcat Love's Sense of Shame
Bobcat Love's Sense of Shame
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Posted: 11/7/2025 7:50 AM
Thoughts after a couple of games:

-- Obviously the sample size is not meaningful, but right now our best net lineup is Pavs/Conners/Elliot/Hadaway/Simmons. I think that's the lineup most of us expected, so interesting datapoint.

-- Been very impressed by Breath so far. He's a better finisher than I expected -- the offense still is stagnant for stretch, which I think is just a byproduct of Boals' approach, but the Pavs pick and roll with Simmons/Breath/Hadaway as the roll man has created a lot of good looks so far this year. Last year, Clayton basically never finished off the roll and opted to pop ~90% of the time, which meant a lot of standing around.

-- But it sure would be nice if we had some shooters off the ball. Hard to tell if Kelly can be that. Conners needs more minutes, and as much as it pains me to say it, I get why Sheldon's seeing so many minutes. I still think it's too many, but we're short on options.

-- I never would have thought this coming into the season, but at this point it wouldn't surprise me if Elliot's the guy who sees his minutes decline as Kelly + Conners do more. If Elliot doesn't show a willingness to shoot off the catch 3 or 4 times a game, I think we just become too easy to guard. Even Kuany showed the willingness in the game 1.
Andrew Ruck
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Posted: 11/7/2025 9:17 AM
Did anyone ever confirm if Carter Reese (Junior guard transfer from Ohio Northern) is a walk-on? Assuming we still can only offer 13, I have to assume he is otherwise we would be over.

My new seats are behind the Ohio bench so I get a good look at the benchwarmers. I'm always curious how they're handling their lack of a role, but all seem to be supportive and in good spirits on the outside. The 4 players who appear to not be in any plans this year are Reese, Jordan Fisher, Zay Mosley & Ayden Evans...with Burris hanging on by a thread.
FJC31
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Posted: 11/7/2025 9:25 AM
Bobcat Love's Sense of Shame wrote:expand_more
Thoughts after a couple of games:

-- Obviously the sample size is not meaningful, but right now our best net lineup is Pavs/Conners/Elliot/Hadaway/Simmons. I think that's the lineup most of us expected, so interesting datapoint.

-- Been very impressed by Breath so far. He's a better finisher than I expected -- the offense still is stagnant for stretch, which I think is just a byproduct of Boals' approach, but the Pavs pick and roll with Simmons/Breath/Hadaway as the roll man has created a lot of good looks so far this year. Last year, Clayton basically never finished off the roll and opted to pop ~90% of the time, which meant a lot of standing around.

-- But it sure would be nice if we had some shooters off the ball. Hard to tell if Kelly can be that. Conners needs more minutes, and as much as it pains me to say it, I get why Sheldon's seeing so many minutes. I still think it's too many, but we're short on options.

-- I never would have thought this coming into the season, but at this point it wouldn't surprise me if Elliot's the guy who sees his minutes decline as Kelly + Conners do more. If Elliot doesn't show a willingness to shoot off the catch 3 or 4 times a game, I think we just become too easy to guard. Even Kuany showed the willingness in the game 1.
Breath was the saving grace after Illinois State went on its run to start the half. He had 7 double digit games last year at UNCG. Most notably 16 against High Point. He strikes me as a guy that knows his place, but can step up offensively if needed. As demonstrated last night.

Shooting -- I would like to think leaning into pick and rolls/our bigs for offense, would open up more clean looks from 3PT range. This is where again, I think Boals coaching can adjust his coaching. Actually run some plays for Conners and Sheldon. Potentially even Burris if he gets minutes.

If you're going to trot Sheldon out there for 30-35 minutes a game, at least get him open from the 3. He had zero attempts last night -- which might be a byproduct of a lack of confidence. However, he just turns into a high minute glue guy without that 3PT upside.

For possibly the first time in the Boals era, the size and athleticism seems to be there, we just need to figure out who are shooters are and find them clean looks.

I think you pointed out in the game thread the lineup of Pavs-Conners-Kelly-Hadaway-Simmons. I tend to agree that I think this is our best lineup option from a balance standpoint.
Jonesy1017
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Posted: 11/7/2025 9:28 AM
Andrew Ruck wrote:expand_more
Did anyone ever confirm if Carter Reese (Junior guard transfer from Ohio Northern) is a walk-on? Assuming we still can only offer 13, I have to assume he is otherwise we would be over.

My new seats are behind the Ohio bench so I get a good look at the benchwarmers. I'm always curious how they're handling their lack of a role, but all seem to be supportive and in good spirits on the outside. The 4 players who appear to not be in any plans this year are Reese, Jordan Fisher, Zay Mosley & Ayden Evans...with Burris hanging on by a thread.
I believe the roster size and scholarship limit were increased to 15 for basketball starting this year
100%Cat
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Posted: 11/7/2025 11:47 AM
Knock me for this comparison if you want, but Breath strikes me as sort of a Doug Taylor-light. A little smaller than Big Doug, but plays his role and will have the occasional scoring night like he had last night. Thick, physical presence. I like what he brings to the table.

I, like seemingly everyone not named Boals, don't fully understand all of the minutes to Sheldon. Another meh night from him last night. As mentioned on the game thread, his late turnover when we were up about 6 was truly awful. It looked like something you'd expect from a true freshman, not a senior. If he's not scoring, not shooting a good clip, not an assist guy, not an elite defender, he's just...out there. A lot. Like others have said, it seems like he'd be better in a bench role in smaller minutes, but I'm not a coach.
Andrew Ruck
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Posted: 11/7/2025 12:53 PM
Jonesy1017 wrote:expand_more
Did anyone ever confirm if Carter Reese (Junior guard transfer from Ohio Northern) is a walk-on? Assuming we still can only offer 13, I have to assume he is otherwise we would be over.
I believe the roster size and scholarship limit were increased to 15 for basketball starting this year
That is true, but we never confirmed that Ohio got approval from the University to fund 2 additional scholarships, and cleared the necessary Title IX hurdles to do so. I honestly would stay at 13, keep the budget lower and make it a selling point for incoming recruits that we don't carry 15 which only creates more playing time concerns. 3x the men on the court is more than we need.
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Posted: 11/7/2025 1:10 PM
Andrew Ruck wrote:expand_more
Did anyone ever confirm if Carter Reese (Junior guard transfer from Ohio Northern) is a walk-on? Assuming we still can only offer 13, I have to assume he is otherwise we would be over.
I believe the roster size and scholarship limit were increased to 15 for basketball starting this year
That is true, but we never confirmed that Ohio got approval from the University to fund 2 additional scholarships, and cleared the necessary Title IX hurdles to do so. I honestly would stay at 13, keep the budget lower and make it a selling point for incoming recruits that we don't carry 15 which only creates more playing time concerns. 3x the men on the court is more than we need.
Not with our recent injury history, lol.
Bobcat Love's Sense of Shame
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Posted: 11/21/2025 9:56 AM
With 5 games under our belt, wanted to look at some lineup data.

Looking at lineups that have had at least 5 offensive and defensive possessions on the floor, we have 5 combos with a positive differential and 16 with negative differentials.

Best:

-- J. Breath / D. Conners / A. Hadaway / J. Paveletzke / A. Sheldon (+13 with 22 possessions together)
-- E. Elliott / A. Hadaway / J. Paveletzke / A. Sheldon / J. Simmons (+12 with 8 possessions)
-- J. Breath / A. Hadaway / J. Kelly / J. Paveletzke / A. Sheldon (+4 with 9 possessions)
-- D. Conners / A. Hadaway / J. Kelly / J. Paveletzke / J. Simmons (+3 with 15 possessions)
GraffZ06
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Posted: 11/25/2025 12:20 PM
Bobcat Love's Sense of Shame wrote:expand_more
With 5 games under our belt, wanted to look at some lineup data.

Looking at lineups that have had at least 5 offensive and defensive possessions on the floor, we have 5 combos with a positive differential and 16 with negative differentials.

Best:

-- J. Breath / D. Conners / A. Hadaway / J. Paveletzke / A. Sheldon (+13 with 22 possessions together)
-- E. Elliott / A. Hadaway / J. Paveletzke / A. Sheldon / J. Simmons (+12 with 8 possessions)
-- J. Breath / A. Hadaway / J. Kelly / J. Paveletzke / A. Sheldon (+4 with 9 possessions)
-- D. Conners / A. Hadaway / J. Kelly / J. Paveletzke / J. Simmons (+3 with 15 possessions)
Still not enough data to make definitive decisions, but interesting nonetheless.

Based on that our best 5 should be:

1) Paveletzke - on all 4
2) Hadaway - on all 4
3) Sheldon - on 3 of 4
4) Breath - on 2 of 4, but both include the Pavs/Hadaway/Sheldon trio
5) Conners or Kelly - on 2 of 4, both with 1 with the above quartet. Probably play Dior if you want more offense and 3's and JJ if you want more defense, rebounding and length.

Simmons and Elliott first two off the bench. Something I said previously.

That being said, even if that's our best/most efficient lineup, a team starting Sheldon and a freshman might just explain why we aren't really all that GOOD.
Bobcat Love's Sense of Shame
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Posted: 11/25/2025 12:39 PM
GraffZ06 wrote:expand_more
Simmons and Elliott first two off the bench. Something I said previously.
I guess you've moved off your year-long insistence that we start Elliott and bring Pavs off the bench?

After two additional games, the lineup data has changed quite a bit and Simmons lineups are improving. Not surprising, as he's played well of late, while Breath struggled in his first game back.

The top performing units are basically even:

Pav/Sheldon/Connors/Hadaway/Breath (+13)

and

Pavs/Sheldon/Elliott/Hadaway/Simmons (+12)

But the Pavs/Sheldon/Elliott/Hadaway/Simmons lineup has 2x the possessions on both ends of the court.

Breath is now only on 2 of our 5 best lineups. Simmons is on 3 of 5.

And based on the eye test, I just can't see the case for benching Simmons after his last few games.
FearLeon
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Posted: 11/25/2025 3:06 PM
GraffZ06 wrote:expand_more
With 5 games under our belt, wanted to look at some lineup data.

Looking at lineups that have had at least 5 offensive and defensive possessions on the floor, we have 5 combos with a positive differential and 16 with negative differentials.

Best:

-- J. Breath / D. Conners / A. Hadaway / J. Paveletzke / A. Sheldon (+13 with 22 possessions together)
-- E. Elliott / A. Hadaway / J. Paveletzke / A. Sheldon / J. Simmons (+12 with 8 possessions)
-- J. Breath / A. Hadaway / J. Kelly / J. Paveletzke / A. Sheldon (+4 with 9 possessions)
-- D. Conners / A. Hadaway / J. Kelly / J. Paveletzke / J. Simmons (+3 with 15 possessions)
Still not enough data to make definitive decisions, but interesting nonetheless.

Based on that our best 5 should be:

1) Paveletzke - on all 4
2) Hadaway - on all 4
3) Sheldon - on 3 of 4
4) Breath - on 2 of 4, but both include the Pavs/Hadaway/Sheldon trio
5) Conners or Kelly - on 2 of 4, both with 1 with the above quartet. Probably play Dior if you want more offense and 3's and JJ if you want more defense, rebounding and length.

Simmons and Elliott first two off the bench. Something I said previously.

That being said, even if that's our best/most efficient lineup, a team starting Sheldon and a freshman might just explain why we aren't really all that GOOD.
Didn’t you say from the start of last season that PAVS should be coming off the bench full-time? What changed?
Last Edited: 11/25/2025 3:07:04 PM by FearLeon
GraffZ06
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Posted: 11/25/2025 3:27 PM
FearLeon wrote:expand_more
Didn’t you say from the start of last season that PAVS should be coming off the bench full-time? What changed?
What changed?

He's shooting 45% from 3 for one. (He was awful / wouldn't even shoot 3s last year) on a team that's desperate for ANYBODY to make 3s.

He's scoring 19.5 per game.

I'd still prefer we were bigger, but at least we've moved to Kelly at the SF giving us more size. I'm okay with 2 small guards (Pavs/Sheldon etc) but not three (Pavs/Sheldon/Elliott).

And Elliott, for all his flashes last year, whether it's due to injury or small sample size or both - just hasn't taken the next step yet.

Pavs has been our best player this year and it's almost not even close.

I still don't think that's a good thing for our team. It's no wonder we're awful.
Bobcat Love's Sense of Shame
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Posted: 1/5/2026 12:22 PM
3 games into the conference schedule, and we're basically down to a 7 man rotation.

MPG in conference:

Jackson Paveletzke: 37.7
Aidan Hadaway: 35.3
Ajay Sheldon: 29.7
JJ Kelly: 26.7
Javan Simmons: 24.3
Elijah Elliott: 19.0
Jalen Breath: 15.0
Dior Conners: 6.0
Jesse Burris: 5.0 (1 game)
Kiir Kuany: 4.7
Ayden Evans: 2.0 (1 game)

Will be interesting to see where Elliott's minutes go if he's out an extended period. There aren't really any good answers, unfortunately. Sadly, I think that means Sheldon plays more. Though maybe Burris & Kelly both get a bit more time.

I'd also like to see more minutes for Simmons, but I think a part of it is just that he's very big, and we ask him to do a ton when he's on the floor. That's only sustainable for so may minutes.

Honestly, pretty easy to look at the above and understand why we're just not that good. Only so many impact players on that list.
Last Edited: 1/5/2026 12:23:00 PM by Bobcat Love's Sense of Shame
Andrew Ruck
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Posted: 1/5/2026 1:06 PM
Simmons has also had several early foul trouble games that held back his minutes.

I wouldn't mind seeing Hadaway shed a few mins down to 30-32, with select moments of subbing when he is getting stupid and out of sorts. This would give Kuany more minutes. If EE is out awhile (it didn't look good), JJ gets his shot beyond not just a starter but a bonafide top guy...but I'd also consider Kuany at the 3 to get him more minutes. Maybe less from Breath too, taking all together getting Kuany up in the 15-20 range.

But under Boals, I wouldn't be surprise to see Burris get EE's minutes. He seems to like him. And he will never put 3 of Hadaway/Simmons/Breath/Kuany on the court at the same time.
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Posted: 1/5/2026 1:36 PM
7 is tight even for Boals.

He'd rather sell his parents into slavery than play 9, but 7... reeks of the lack of confidence in his team.
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Posted: 1/5/2026 1:59 PM
M.D.W.S.T wrote:expand_more
7 is tight even for Boals.

He'd rather sell his parents into slavery than play 9, but 7... reeks of the lack of confidence in his team.
It could be 6 with Elliott out.

I think I'd actually like to see Connors get those minutes, so long as Boals pulls him quickly (after a game or two) if he doesn't improve.

A lot of shooters are rhythm shooters and Connors has the highest upside of anybody who could fill those minutes. He's only half a season removed from shooting 40% from three in a better conference than the MAC on a high volume of takes. See if you can get him back on track, and if not, who the hell knows.
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Posted: 1/5/2026 2:50 PM
Bobcat Love's Sense of Shame wrote:expand_more
7 is tight even for Boals.

He'd rather sell his parents into slavery than play 9, but 7... reeks of the lack of confidence in his team.
It could be 6 with Elliott out.

I think I'd actually like to see Connors get those minutes, so long as Boals pulls him quickly (after a game or two) if he doesn't improve.

A lot of shooters are rhythm shooters and Connors has the highest upside of anybody who could fill those minutes. He's only half a season removed from shooting 40% from three in a better conference than the MAC on a high volume of takes. See if you can get him back on track, and if not, who the hell knows.
What are the basketball redshirt rules? Isn't it touch the floor 4 games, that's a burned year?

Fisher just hit 4. If Elliott can't go - time to push your chips to the middle of the table. Despite being 2-1 in the conference, I don't think anyone is gonna argue we're a very good basketball team. Time to open it up a little. Get JJ and Fisher going together. Get Kuany some extended minutes at 3/4. Hopefully Burris can hit some 3's off the bench. Dior finds his shot, gets a little more comfortable and starts contributing more. Breath settles in. Simmons and Hadaway work together a little better. Jack keeps cruisin.

I don't think this is a BAD team, it's just a messy one. A lot of parts and no glue.
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Posted: 1/5/2026 3:00 PM
Andrew Ruck wrote:expand_more
Simmons has also had several early foul trouble games that held back his minutes.
Weirdly enough Simmons is actually averaging more PPG than Pav if you look at per 40 minutes and per 100 possessions stats. But he's played 134 less minutes than Pav has also. His biggest issues have been staying on the floor and turning the ball over (2nd most on the team and tied for most per 40). I know big men like bakery turnovers, but basketball turnovers are bad.
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Posted: 1/5/2026 3:02 PM
M.D.W.S.T wrote:expand_more
7 is tight even for Boals.

He'd rather sell his parents into slavery than play 9, but 7... reeks of the lack of confidence in his team.
It could be 6 with Elliott out.

I think I'd actually like to see Connors get those minutes, so long as Boals pulls him quickly (after a game or two) if he doesn't improve.

A lot of shooters are rhythm shooters and Connors has the highest upside of anybody who could fill those minutes. He's only half a season removed from shooting 40% from three in a better conference than the MAC on a high volume of takes. See if you can get him back on track, and if not, who the hell knows.
What are the basketball redshirt rules? Isn't it touch the floor 4 games, that's a burned year?
No unfortunately not like football, which is bogus. Playing even a single second of action burns your redshirt in basketball. Hardship waivers are granted for injured players who have played 30% or less of the team's games.
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