Ohio Basketball Topic
Topic: Heading To A 13-17 Type Season?
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BillyTheCat
12/9/2022 8:11 AM
bobcatsquared wrote:expand_more
There are several yearly thoughts on this board I have disagreements with. The "Boals/TOS/Groce is going to go with a 10-man rotation this season" we see every summer/early fall. Or the "we're the team no one wants to face in the tournament" that comes up every February.

The one I have the most problems with, however, is the one we read every Nov/Dec about "the only the games that matter are in the MAC conference and/or the ones played in Cleveland". My train of thought is more from the conference perspective, but Ohio benefits when the MAC raises its profile among other DI conferences and perhaps one day gets back to at-large bids and NCAA tourney wins. For the MAC to do this it has to start winning more games out-of-conference. The last I looked, MAC teams are .500 in games played within the conference and I'll go out on a limb and predict that MAC teams will go .500 against each other this winter (and next). It's games played in Nov and Dec that prove how good the conference is overall.

Just one fan's opinion/perspective.
+1, and your first paragraph just summed up the entire history of BA preseason basketball thread
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FJC31
12/9/2022 8:38 AM
GraffZ06 wrote:expand_more
Sure, but I think you missed my second sentence which was "What's the difference between 16 wins and 18 wins in the grand scheme of things anyway?"

Answer. Nothing. So what if it costs us a couple games now, if it yields results in March.
Based on what you’ve seen, how confident are you that the current strategy is going to yield results in March? It’s not the losing, it’s how we’re losing.
Depends how quickly or if the extra minutes and data eventually lead to more optimal lineups and solutions. I think this question is still TBD. The other question is, will a more optimal rotation actually yield better results? i.e. Do we even have enough talent at the right positions to matter come March or are we just rearranging deck chairs on the Titanic? I'm not sure on that yet either with respect to this year. I will say I think the future outlook is bright for the freshman class.

I'm willing to let Boals and the staff give it a try though. They've earned my trust and support. My "confidence" is in the staff. What our record will be? Who knows. Like I said I've been wavering between about 10 to 18 wins all along.

The ultimate test, just like every year, will be in Cleveland.
We’ll agree to disagree. Eight games in plus the eye test imo is enough data to begin making some adjustments. Starting with the most obvious — AJB being inserted into the starting lineup for Baker.

I don’t think anyone will dispute that his length, athleticism, and overall ability doesn’t create a more optimal lineup.

No team can say the future is bright for a freshman class in the transfer portal era. For all we know half our roster is already considering other options. Point being — I don’t think playing trial and error the entire season with hopes and dreams it comes together in March is the way to go.
Last Edited: 12/9/2022 8:44:01 AM by FJC31
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FJC31
12/9/2022 8:51 AM
bobcatsquared wrote:expand_more
There are several yearly thoughts on this board I have disagreements with. The "Boals/TOS/Groce is going to go with a 10-man rotation this season" we see every summer/early fall. Or the "we're the team no one wants to face in the tournament" that comes up every February.

The one I have the most problems with, however, is the one we read every Nov/Dec about "the only the games that matter are in the MAC conference and/or the ones played in Cleveland". My train of thought is more from the conference perspective, but Ohio benefits when the MAC raises its profile among other DI conferences and perhaps one day gets back to at-large bids and NCAA tourney wins. For the MAC to do this it has to start winning more games out-of-conference. The last I looked, MAC teams are .500 in games played within the conference and I'll go out on a limb and predict that MAC teams will go .500 against each other this winter (and next). It's games played in Nov and Dec that prove how good the conference is overall.

Just one fan's opinion/perspective.
+1. Ill also add what comes with big Nov/Dec wins is national attention. Even if just 15 second clips on sportscenter.
Last Edited: 12/9/2022 1:45:17 PM by FJC31
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OhioCatFan
12/9/2022 12:06 PM
FJC31 wrote:expand_more
There are several yearly thoughts on this board I have disagreements with. The "Boals/TOS/Groce is going to go with a 10-man rotation this season" we see every summer/early fall. Or the "we're the team no one wants to face in the tournament" that comes up every February.

The one I have the most problems with, however, is the one we read every Nov/Dec about "the only the games that matter are in the MAC conference and/or the ones played in Cleveland". My train of thought is more from the conference perspective, but Ohio benefits when the MAC raises its profile among other DI conferences and perhaps one day gets back to at-large bids and NCAA tourney wins. For the MAC to do this it has to start winning more games out-of-conference. The last I looked, MAC teams are .500 in games played within the conference and I'll go out on a limb and predict that MAC teams will go .500 against each other this winter (and next). It's games played in Nov and Dec that prove how good the conference is overall.

Just one fan's opinion/perspective.
+1. I’ll also what comes with big Nov/Dec wins is national attention. Even if just 15 second clips on sportscenter.
Yes, I remember seasons when MAC teams pulled big upsets in December and it was the favorite topic of conversation in the halls of OU-HCOM. It created quite a buzz. Not much of that kind of excitement this year, but it does look like Kent came close in several instances. They appear to be the class of the MAC this year.
Last Edited: 12/9/2022 12:07:45 PM by OhioCatFan
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Cellis033
12/9/2022 5:49 PM
OhioCatFan wrote:expand_more
There are several yearly thoughts on this board I have disagreements with. The "Boals/TOS/Groce is going to go with a 10-man rotation this season" we see every summer/early fall. Or the "we're the team no one wants to face in the tournament" that comes up every February.

The one I have the most problems with, however, is the one we read every Nov/Dec about "the only the games that matter are in the MAC conference and/or the ones played in Cleveland". My train of thought is more from the conference perspective, but Ohio benefits when the MAC raises its profile among other DI conferences and perhaps one day gets back to at-large bids and NCAA tourney wins. For the MAC to do this it has to start winning more games out-of-conference. The last I looked, MAC teams are .500 in games played within the conference and I'll go out on a limb and predict that MAC teams will go .500 against each other this winter (and next). It's games played in Nov and Dec that prove how good the conference is overall.

Just one fan's opinion/perspective.
+1. I’ll also what comes with big Nov/Dec wins is national attention. Even if just 15 second clips on sportscenter.
Yes, I remember seasons when MAC teams pulled big upsets in December and it was the favorite topic of conversation in the halls of OU-HCOM. It created quite a buzz. Not much of that kind of excitement this year, but it does look like Kent came close in several instances. They appear to be the class of the MAC this year.
Would love to see this happen as well even if it isn't us pulling the upset. Another era of the MAC being the top mid major again would be a huge treat.
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GraffZ06
12/10/2022 3:27 PM
CatsUp wrote:expand_more
The one I have the most problems with, however, is the one we read every Nov/Dec about "the only the games that matter are in the MAC conference and/or the ones played in Cleveland". My train of thought is more from the conference perspective, but Ohio benefits when the MAC raises its profile among other DI conferences and perhaps one day gets back to at-large bids and NCAA tourney wins. For the MAC to do this it has to start winning more games out-of-conference. The last I looked, MAC teams are .500 in games played within the conference and I'll go out on a limb and predict that MAC teams will go .500 against each other this winter (and next). It's games played in Nov and Dec that prove how good the conference is overall.

Just one fan's opinion/perspective.
+1. In that same vein is the way too common use of the term “preseason” for “pre conference”. Then again, if that’s the opinion, maybe it’s intentional.
No doubt we all want to get to the point where non conference games matter. We can. This year isn't one of them. Sadly most years they don't matter. To be in the at-large conversation you need to be ranked top 50, realistically top 40.

Where the MAC is currently ranked and how Ohio was perceived/ranked coming into the season it would probably take a record of something like 26-4 or 27-3 (in that range) combined with multiple tier 1 and 2 non con wins.

My opinion is Boals and everyone else knew that type of season was HIGHLY unlikely. Our non con schedule gave us 2 for sure top tier games with Michigan and Florida and up to 3/4 pending how some of the mids perform (Belmont, Marshall).

The fact that we've already lost 4 games and didn't win either Belmont or Michigan means our at large chances are gone. Which means it's Cleveland or bust. Again.

We say it almost every year not because we want it to be that way or that we can't at some point get back to that level but because it just hasn't materialized to be so in about 30 years.

It is what it is. Want November games to matter? Have a roster capable of 30 wins with a schedule of 4 or 5 or more P5 games. Win all the non P5 games and knock off a couple Ps and they will.

This team is nowhere near that level so accept it and use this time to get guys minutes, comfortable, rotations, healthy etc.
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GraffZ06
12/10/2022 3:39 PM
FJC31 wrote:expand_more
Sure, but I think you missed my second sentence which was "What's the difference between 16 wins and 18 wins in the grand scheme of things anyway?"

Answer. Nothing. So what if it costs us a couple games now, if it yields results in March.
Based on what you’ve seen, how confident are you that the current strategy is going to yield results in March? It’s not the losing, it’s how we’re losing.
Depends how quickly or if the extra minutes and data eventually lead to more optimal lineups and solutions. I think this question is still TBD. The other question is, will a more optimal rotation actually yield better results? i.e. Do we even have enough talent at the right positions to matter come March or are we just rearranging deck chairs on the Titanic? I'm not sure on that yet either with respect to this year. I will say I think the future outlook is bright for the freshman class.

I'm willing to let Boals and the staff give it a try though. They've earned my trust and support. My "confidence" is in the staff. What our record will be? Who knows. Like I said I've been wavering between about 10 to 18 wins all along.

The ultimate test, just like every year, will be in Cleveland.
We’ll agree to disagree. Eight games in plus the eye test imo is enough data to begin making some adjustments. Starting with the most obvious — AJB being inserted into the starting lineup for Baker.

I don’t think anyone will dispute that his length, athleticism, and overall ability doesn’t create a more optimal lineup.
I don't think we disagree on that at all. I've been calling for AJB since before the season when I said he could be in the running for MAC Frosh of Year. I said it again in the Devon Baker thread where if he doesn't start producing ASAP then you have to start giving more and more minutes to AJ. Plus the length and athleticism he brings that this team severely lacks.

I'd celebrate that move.

I'm just saying I understand Boals using this time to continue to tinker and mix and match with lineups minutes and matchups. Who we start and play this week may very well look nothing like who we run in Cleveland when it matters.
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OhioCatFan
12/10/2022 8:39 PM
I'm a card-carrying member of the AJB fan club. The more playing time he gets the better, in my book. But, in this case only JB's book counts. We'll see what happens going forward. [Editorial Note: That last sentence of mine is nearly as stupid as the statement, "It is what it is." These are both tautological, in that one doesn't not have to resort to sense data to prove that they are true. They are true by definition in the same way that "all green cars are green."]
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TWT
12/11/2022 4:34 PM
shabamon wrote:expand_more
Non conference schedule with Younstown St, Stetson, Delaware and Chicago St sounds like 3 more wins to me. That gives the Bobcats 8 wins and then MAC plays 20 game schedule now. They can do better than 5-15 in the MAC.
Chi State is the only layup in that bunch.
Youngstown State was literally a layup.
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OhioCatFan
12/11/2022 11:50 PM
Campus Flow wrote:expand_more
Non conference schedule with Younstown St, Stetson, Delaware and Chicago St sounds like 3 more wins to me. That gives the Bobcats 8 wins and then MAC plays 20 game schedule now. They can do better than 5-15 in the MAC.
Chi State is the only layup in that bunch.
Youngstown State was literally a layup.
Ha-ha!
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Andrew Ruck
12/12/2022 9:30 AM
I can't handle the "the only thing that matters is your path to the national championship and if that is gone then screw everything" mindset of today. Every game matters all the time. Every success only boosts our standing in the landscape of college basketball. Sure we don't have any at-large chance, obviously...but did we want losing to YSU on our resume? No, we want to show we are a superior program to them and the more preferable destination for recruits, coaches, etc.
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Cellis033
12/12/2022 3:22 PM
Andrew Ruck wrote:expand_more
I can't handle the "the only thing that matters is your path to the national championship and if that is gone then screw everything" mindset of today. Every game matters all the time. Every success only boosts our standing in the landscape of college basketball. Sure we don't have any at-large chance, obviously...but did we want losing to YSU on our resume? No, we want to show we are a superior program to them and the more preferable destination for recruits, coaches, etc.
Building on that, We are 100% one of the most storied mid major programs in the country. But, we have to get every resume building win we can get. We turned heads against Michigan and I feel we have an excellent chance again against Florida.
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BillyTheCat
12/12/2022 4:47 PM
Andrew Ruck wrote:expand_more
I can't handle the "the only thing that matters is your path to the national championship and if that is gone then screw everything" mindset of today. Every game matters all the time. Every success only boosts our standing in the landscape of college basketball. Sure we don't have any at-large chance, obviously...but did we want losing to YSU on our resume? No, we want to show we are a superior program to them and the more preferable destination for recruits, coaches, etc.
+1

If these games “don’t matter” why should the kids play hard? Why should they care? But they do care and they do play hard because it all matters to the kids and coaches.
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GraffZ06
12/13/2022 1:47 AM
Andrew Ruck wrote:expand_more
I can't handle the "the only thing that matters is your path to the national championship and if that is gone then screw everything" mindset of today. [/QUOTE]I wouldn't say then screw EVERYTHING. Lots of positives and successes can be accomplished without a natty. But that still has to be the goal every year, otherwise why even compete at that level? You play to win the game. At least in NCAA basketball every team has the chance to win or lose themselves into that position each March. It's beautiful.

Every game matters all the time.


To the players, coaches and their families - 100 percent yes. We as fans are talking about the grand scheme of the program though. November and December games "don't matter" insofar as changing the probability or possibility of achieving the goal of making the NCAA tournament except in at-large years. Just like this weekend's Cleveland Browns game doesn't matter because they aren't making the playoffs regardless of the outcome.

Of course it "matters" to the guys in the locker room though.

...but did we want losing to YSU on our resume?


It wouldn't be the end of the world. YSU isn't UC-Clermont, but no I didn't WANT to lose.

[Quote=Andrew Ruck]No, we want to show we are a superior program to them and the more preferable destination for recruits, coaches, etc.
But the reality is, nobody a year or more from now, will remember anything about this game without looking it up. And please, tell me how a December 11th 81-79 non-conference win (or loss) over Youngstown St is swaying/influencing ANY recruit. I just don't see it. That's not (normally/usually) what goes into their decision making process.
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Andrew Ruck
12/13/2022 8:10 AM
I will admit my standards of sports fandom are unreasonably high. I just view it differently than the average person these days. To me, if it matters to the guys in the locker room, it should matter to us. Every possession matters to the careers of these guys we are supporting. Being on CBS in March upsetting big time programs is great, but anyone can show up and get excited for that. The true reward of being a fan is being there when the little things start to click. That can happen at literally any moment in any season.

I know on the surface the YSU game seems insignificant...in many ways it is. But you never know what little developments occurred in and around each game that will have a lasting impact. Or maybe it was just a fun game and great memory for all of us. That's important too. Isn't that why we got into this sports stuff in the first place?
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shabamon
12/13/2022 9:57 AM
I've believed for several years that expanded video coverage of college basketball (whether it's added TV channels, ESPN3/+, social media) has unintentionally hurt local/student support, especially at the mid major level. Do our casual fans contextualize a two point win at Youngstown State as insignificant because it's easy to know what some lottery pick at Kentucky or Duke is up to?

All it comes down to for me is I love watching basketball and my school plays at the highest level, so I'm happy when they play it well.

You're dreaming if you think we're ever winning a natty, but the fact that we still control our own destiny is fun. I have two things to say about the significance/insignificance of beating Youngstown State in December: 1) The fun moments later in the regular season, like hosting Toledo, Kent, and Akron (with one, possibly two being on national TV) are more fun if you build the momentum over the course of the season by stringing together wins. 2) I think we do awesome for a MAC school with social media. Posting video of the team mobbing Dwight on the floor and celebrating in the locker room and having coaches and players share that stuff - that's showcasing and promoting culture to fans and recruits. Boals has said in interviews how much that stuff is part of the strategy, so it matters.
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100%Cat
12/14/2022 8:33 AM
I doubt anyone would say they're ecstatic with where we are right now, but on the glass-half-full side, we're 5-4 but only a few ticks and a made free throw from being 7-2. There's only been two games (Marshall and Detroit) when we weren't really competitive. How differently would we be looking at this start to the year if we hung on at Belmont and pulled out the Michigan game? Obviously, we didn't, but those were two tough road environments and we played well enough to win for nearly 40 minutes in both.
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