How about CBSsports.com's latest Bracketology listing Northern Iowa among the last four out? Northern Iowa has a higher RPI than us, but at 16-9, below .500 in their league and a head-to-head blowout loss to us on their home floor, that would be a bitter pill to swallow if they were selected over us somehow. It's amazing what one good win can do but another example of how weak the bubble teams are this year - if we keep winning, particularly against the East, I think the committee will have to take notice.
UNI has played a considerably tougher schedule than we have. They've played 6 teams in the top 50 in RPI and are 3-3 against them. Their schedule is what we should be aiming for. They only played two teams OOC with RPI's ranked over 200. They are greatly helped by the fact that their in-state big schools (Iowa, Iowa State) are willing to play them on the road. But their schedule is tough, but not too tough, every year. Our RPI should go up quite a bit if we are able to win the East though.