George, you've put together a strong argument. I'll address each of your points individually.
1. It energizes the fan base. Penn State may have been worse than a whole lot of teams week 1, but the reason it got everyone excited is because it was Penn State and not UL Lafeyette, who is probably better (and I can't even spell their name). Count the number of people who make the investment to go to an away game vs. say Penn State vs. a generic team, count how many went to Game Watches and count how many were talking about that game.
Agreed. However, we would only see this benefit in basketball on a weekend game. For whatever reason, bigger names only want to play us during the week...
2. It energizes the players. Can't be certain about this one as I don't know the players, but don't tell me this isn't the highlight of their season. I can ensure you the players have @ Memphis and @ Oklahoma circled on the schedule. I'm not even sure Oklahoma is any good, but it's still circled.
Memphis, absolutely. Oklahoma? Maybe. They don't have a lot of cachet in basketball these days. I wouldn't be surprised if UMass gets them up.
3. The NCAA Committee apparently looks at Quality Wins and Bad Losses, or at least that's on the screen they show on TV when they're assessing the resume of Bubble Teams. I've never seen a graphic listing "Sneaky Good Teams." Instead, that's a term a fan base uses when it's attempting to justify their schedule.[/quote[
4. Some Quality Wins give you some wiggle room and cushion for a couple bad losses. When you have no Quality Wins over teams the NCAA Committee takes notice of, then a couple bad losses is enough reason to sink you. When you have no quality wins, your margin of error is razor thin in the MAC. A couple bad losses in an otherwise great season, may be enough to keep you out.
Here is what the selection committee will be look at come March. Note how things are broken down. I would consider anything in those first two categories a good win and anything in that last column a bad loss. What name is attached to the number is less important than the number itself and what category it's in. A lot of fans (fueled by ignorant pundits) don't realize this is a numbers game. There's less mystique and aura attached to big schools than people think (aside from the elite few). Get the numbers in your favor. Don't lose to the big numbers and get wins against the small numbers. It's that straightforward. A win over UMass will matter more than a win over Memphis if UMass ends up with the smaller number next to it.
Somebody said "bad losses" keep us out of an at-large. I completely disagree.
Then you don't know how the selection committee operates. We had a top 50 win last year, even though you don't respect it because of conference affiliation. Losses to Toledo, EMU, and maybe BG was what killed our case.
It is extremely difficult to run the table in ANY conference and that expectation in unrealsitic.
We're not asking for an undefeated run. We're asking those losses don't go to bad teams.
Playing about four games above our head on the road, which would be two more than scheduled this year, along with the current schedule would give us a chance at some quality wins. Don't you want to test yourself to see how good you are?
First, it's debatable whether or not Oklahoma is "above our head." The higher you go, the fewer teams are above you, right? But UMass could very well win the A-10. Beating the champion of a superior conference, and the A-10 should be very strong, is a good win. Second, you continue to ignore the fact the staff very much wanted to schedule those games and were simply refused. You think we get to just name our opponents? It doesn't work that way. And, again, even if we find people to play us, both parties have to agree on a date. If we're going on the road, it has to be worked into the schedule in a logical logistical manner. For instance, we're taking a whole week off to get ready for fake OU.
Last Edited: 11/18/2012 3:21:00 AM by JSF