It's largely a product of three things:
1) Playing Kentucky and Wisconsin who are 1 and 6 in the RPI respectively
2) Playing the majority of our OOC schedule on the road and getting a good amount of road wins
3) Our only 2 home losses are top 100 RPI teams.
The RPI seems to reward playing good teams regardless of outcome and punish home losses. Road losses to middling teams don't seem to have too strong an impact.
Buffalo hasn't done much terribly wrong this year (Ohio is our only 150+ RPI loss), they just haven't done anything to stand out. The SOS is skewed largely by the two teams. Outside of them, South Dakota State is really the only "quality" OOC win.
I don't think I've seen any Buffalo fans seriously talk at-large bid this year. It's more conference guys (Jeremy Guy) and university employees pumping up our chances. If the 2005 squad didn't get it, this squad won't, and that's coming from someone who really likes this squad. I think something like 4 teams historically have been left out of the tournament with better RPIs than ours is currently, and half of them were from power conferences, so there's no blaming the MAC either if we get left behind.
I'm still a homer, though. If Hurley sticks around and we don't lose any of our key contributors to transfers over the off season, I think Buffalo has outstanding potential for the NCAA tournament next year. And I'm still optimistic about our chances for winning the MAC tournament this year.
Good luck tonight, though not too much. There's usually a decent atmosphere in Alumni Arena when Ohio comes to town. I hope your down season doesn't diminish that any.
Last Edited: 3/3/2015 5:03:44 PM by BasketBull