1999 was a high water mark for the MAC in terms of it being the last year a MAC team earned an At-Large bid. Comparing two data points doesn't tell the full story but I thought it would be interesting to look at the attendance in 1999 vs 2015. I don't know what is more surprising, the fact that most teams didn't see that much variation or that Ball St and Miami just fell off the map. In spite of the conference avg falling by nearly a thousand the MAC finished worse in the 1999 rankings, coming in at 14th.
2015/1999 School (+/-)
3,639/1,597 Buffalo(+2,042)
6,681/6,098 Ohio(+593)
3,154/2,689 Kent State(+469)
2,709/2,531 Central Michigan(+178)
2,643/2,538 Western Michigan(+105)
3,214/3,409 Akron(-195)
1,251/1,455 Northern Illinois(-204)
2,028/2,467 Bowling Green(-440)
5,029/5,696 Toledo(-673)
2,885/3,810 MAC (-925)
858/2,262 Eastern Michigan(-1,404)
2,806/5,630 Ball State(-2,824)
1,113/6,401 Miami(-5,288)
What is the best case scenario for the MAC? Here's an overview of 2015's conference rankings-
#1-#5 P5-Pac12 + Big East (9K-12K)
#6-#7 Pac12 + MWC (7K)
#8 AAC (6K)
#9-#10 A10 + MVC (5.1K)
#11-#12 CUSA + WCC (3.9K-4.1K)
#13-#16 MAC + Horizon + WAC + Big West (2.6K-2.8K)
#17-#31 everybody else
It's interesting that we finished 13th but even with a 1K increase to match 1999 we would still be 13th, but would obviously be much closer to 12 and 11. Realistically I think we would get as high as #11 but I don't see the MAC breaking the 5K barrier and getting into the top 10 without a significant culture change across the league.