That said, we're a message board that supports a mid-major program. The majority of the schools beneath us aren't sure of what the future holds for them. When you have 150+ institutions with uncertain futures, that's something to be concerned about.
Definitely agree that the bottom half of FBS/D1 schools are facing a huge amount of uncertainty. They were, for a very long time, basically welfare recipients from the P5. They were able to run their programs thanks to a combination of buy games, revenue shares, and the like. It was inevitable that the P5 would eventually tire of that particular arrangement.
And I think this gets to the heart of a bit of incoherence in many college sports fans right now. Often, the foundation of their arguments are that amatuerism and academics should matter. You'll often hear the view that that's what made NCAA sports great.
But the thing is, that option's available. The NIL doesn't have schools like Amherst in crisis. Any school that wants to offer a truly amateur, academics-first experience can do so. The rub is that mid-majors and smaller D1 schools want that only inasmuch as it acted as a leveler of the playing field and provided cloud cover to restrict students from transferring and restrict P5 schools from offering non-academic benefits to players. What those fans actually want most of all is to participate at the highest level of athletics. They couch it in talk of amatuerism and academics, but those concepts are only actually trotted out as a means of helping them maintain their standing at the D1 level. If the MAC announced tomorrow that it was dropping to D3 everybody would revolt.
When you have a lot of moving parts and zero leadership, it creates a chaotic environment with very little precedent for how to properly proceed. Neither the NCAA or the courts are making anything easy on D1 programs right now.
The NCAA operated with what was very obviously an illegal business model for decades, and everybody knew this outcome was inevitable. The lack of leadership falls squarely on the NCAA for not adapting well before things reached this point.
If you're the SEC or Big 10, what does the NCAA bring to the table at this point? A financial obligation to an extra hundred schools in football and 200 or so in basketball?