If (and it's a big if) the defensive efficiency doesn't get better by those changes - then we're going to be forced to slow the game down and limit possessions. 1.5 pts/possession * 60 possessions = 90 pts. 1.5 pts/poss * 50 possessions = 75 pts. Efficiency the same, but you give yourself a better chance to win.
I don't follow. If our defensive and offensive efficiency is the same under both circumstances then we have almost exactly the same chance to win under both circumstances.
Yes, as I said, if we are legitimately a very bad team that is likely to be an underdog in every game then, yes, slowing the game down allows for more flukish outcomes. If our offense is considered good enough to overcome our defense and thus we are favored in half or more games, which I still think we will be, then slowing the game down will cost us slightly more points on offense that it saves on defense over the season and it isn't going to help, and likely hurt, on that point alone.
That's assuming that our defensive efficiency is the same under both circumstances. We might play better or worse defense in a fast paced game. I don't think we know. Sure, it is a safe assumption that we give up and score less points in a slow paced game but that isn't the same as helping our defense. People seem to be arguing that slowing the game sown actually helps improve our defense rather that just merely improving our points allowed per game and harming our points scored which, and maybe I'm still missing something, seems to be failing grade school math. Obviously, your math is correct but you have not done the math on how many points we are likely to score and if slowing the game down costs us more that 15 points per game.
Last Edited: 11/20/2024 8:14:03 PM by Victory