...I made the point a week ago - after we lost at home to Buffalo - that this team just is what it is - and that's not a team that's going to win the MAC....and they didn't..
curious why you didn't make that point when we beat Akron by 15?
Because one good win (or one bad loss) doesn't make a season? Statistical variance.
I posted after Buffalo - that I started this season with high hopes. Was disappointed with early results, then lost all hope when TC got hurt. Then when Laster and Carter picked up their game from nowhere and we got adapted and strung together some wins, I changed my mind and thought we might actually have a shot - until we couldn't put away mid to top tier teams on our home floor. To me, that was enough evidence to know what we were - and that was a decent but not great MAC team that played with heart and toughness but didn't have enough talent, athletes or depth to go anywhere.
What I'm more disappointed by is the general style of play and recruits of #SaulBall. Can't emphasize enough how much I like Saul as a person, and appreciate his apparent love for Athens/OU. But we're 3 years into a regime with 0 NCAA tournament appearances, 0 NIT appearances, and a total of 2 MAC tournament game victories with 0 MACC game appearances. In my mind, he's got another year or two max unless those numbers change.
Name 2 coaches that have met your criteria for success at the 3yr mark.
John Groce. After 3 years he had 6 MAC tourney wins, 1 championship, 1 NCAA appearance and an NCAA win. 6-2 in MAC tourney vs. 2-3 with Saul. I'd add that I'm not calling for the guy to be fired though. Even without those stats at the 3 year mark. That's why I said I'd give him 1-2 more years to change it. If we're one and done the next 2 years or have 0 'ships...not good.
But my problem is - in March, come tournament time when you're playing multiple games on successive days (tired legs) - you have to have guys who can generate easy buckets (can't rely on jump shooters). You have to have a/couple dominant post players who can score at the rim or on put backs/offensive boards.
You mean like the guy sitton the bench with his foot in a cast and his replacement that got called for 4 ticky tack fouls?
For sure Tone would have helped. But even with him, early this year - he seemed to fall in love with shooting the 3 for "the NBA" and played very timid and passive away from the bucket IMO. We still lost to the powerhouse likes of Marshall and Western Kentucky even with him.
The other piece is - defense travels, your shot doesn't. Better have a team that can lock down on the defensive end during those ugly low scoring games. Bonus is the ability to force some turnovers to generate some easy layups and run outs for those easy buckets.
Toledo and kent were held to >42% shooting and had 24 turnovers. Kent shot 33% from 3.
We were better on D this year than last. Not sure I'd call us a tough, physical defensive team or a defensive juggernaut though. We averaged < 6 steals and < 3 blocks per game. Consistently we were slow on defensive rotations and allowed dribble penetration (a lot of that is just lack of foot work and foot speed IMO) that allowed open looks or caused fouls. Some of the stats listed above are because we played some teams that weren't that great offensively too. But I'll give Saul credit here. We saw improvement. We need lots more of it. Hopefully that's a point of emphasis this offseason and we get even better. I just don't think it IS with Saul. Hope I'm wrong.
Last point is - when it's crunch time and the refs swallow the whistle, or when you're playing in the NIT/NCAA tournaments - you HAVE to have the athletes to match up (both in size, strength and quickness) to get a tough rebound, contest a shot, prevent dribble penetration, create your own space to get a shot off etc.
I see NONE of those things from #SaulBall so far - which gives me little hope that those 3 year numbers I cited above are going to change any time soon.
You didn't see any tough rebounds, contested shots or anyone creating shots off the dribble from any of our players? you didn't see it, or you didn't want to see it?
I saw it tonight from Doug Taylor. He was fantastic. Carter needs about 2 inches and 20 more pounds on him (I hope we see him add some weight/definition in due time). He'll never be very athletic, but he can make up for it with heart, hustle and positioning. Outside of that? Not really. Jaaron is a fantastic player but he can't consistently get to the rim and finish in traffic over/through big physical bigs like we'd face in an NCAA game. Block - nope. Laster - nope. Culver - not yet, maybe in time. Darty - I'd love to see him add to his physique and game and be more than a catch and shoot 3 guy too.
We have no Gary Trent. No Brandon Hunter. No Lewis Geter. No Curtis Simmons. Shoot, no Tarren Harbut or DeVaughn Washington. No Ivo Baltic. No Reggie Keely. And we definitely don't have any guards as physical as a Walt Offutt.
I don't see that changing with the next recruiting class, or any time soon either. Just not the style guys Saul recruits for his system unfortunately.