How do you explain that the MAC has been btwn 10-12 in RPI out of 32 conferences the last few years? Somewhat of a drop this year to 14 but that's not precipitous.
Sagarin and Kenpom has had the MAC abt 12 or 13 in recent years out of 32 conferences. That's not bad.
I'll agree the record vs the Top 100 is bad.
Z, I think another reason that midmajor conferences have dropped off is that recruiting has become such a science. Very few that can play high major ball are falling through the cracks any more.
Jeff, I think it's safe to say that college basketball on the whole has seen a drop in caliber of play outside of the power 6 schools. Some of that can be attributed to conference realignment. But again, I think a lot of that has to do with the 1-and-done nature of the game right now. The A-10 of today looks like the MAC did a decade ago. The MAC of today looks like the SWAC of a decade ago. The SWAC of today looks like NAIA/D2 of a decade ago.
Some of that could also be the science of recruiting, and/or the sheer volume of exposure from AAU circuits and basketball camps.
So relatively the MAC could still be the 12th best conference, while still seeing a precipitous drop in caliber of play.
I think you're really going to start seeing these trends play out in # of at-large and total NCAA bids as well. The MAC was never a lock for multiple bids, but on good years we'd usually have a 2nd (or sometimes even a 3rd) team at least in the conversation, and could get an at-large every handful or so years. Last time that happened was what, 1999? We are officially a 1-and-done conference, no different than the SWAC used to be.
And what is the trickle-up effect? Well how many conferences are realistically locks to get multiple bids? ACC, Big XII, Big East, Big Ten, SEC, Pac 12. Your power 6 are fine.
Then the "next tier" (of which the MAC used to be included IMO) American (will get ~3), Atlantic 10 (will get 2-3), MVC (2), Mtn West (2), WCC (2) - and that's about it. More of your "power" mid-majors, or high mid-majors - whatever you want to call them. Definitely a tier above the other mids at this point.
Next tier of traditional mid-majors would be Conference USA, Colonial, MAC, Horizon, Sun Belt, WAC. All of these conferences are "down" IMO and are all now essentially 1-bid conferences. At the end of the day, no different from all the rest of the bottom 15ish low major conferences.