Believe it if you want ....
But according to ESPN's gamecast winning predictions for the opening round games of the MAC Tournament:
Ohio - 63-percent
Miami - 77-percent
Akron - 83-percent
Kent - 85-percent
IMO -- ESPN does not know and/or does not follow MAC Basketball.
From the bottom up, Kent split with WMU and needed a missed 15-footer at the bzzer by WMU, a monster rebound game from Gillespie and a ton of missed WMU FTs to get that done.
Akron vs. BG, I'll buy that. But more like 75 percent in my book.
Miami split with Eastern, and Eastern is not only one of the hopptest teams, but have won their share on the road.
Ohio -- I think we all can ask questions about this one, considering the UT sweep and the margins of victories.
Frankly, would not be surprised if at least two teams pulled tournament upsets -- and Ohio over Toledo would be an upset in my book.
It's all based on ESPN's metrics and analytics. None of it is based on watching games. The numbers are largely determined by each schools schedule, who you defeat and lose against and the margins in which you do so.
So while we see Ohio losing twice to Toledo, dealing with injuries and struggling, they factor in that our first matchup was close and the Rockets have been equally bad of late and see a more even contest.
It's a good non-biased tool but there's flaws with it as well. The best way is to balance metrics with what your own eyes tell you.
Last Edited: 3/9/2025 12:53:47 PM by Clown Ohio Fan