KenPom predicts an 88-75 loss, 13% chance of winning.
Ohio has been playing better offensively since the BG game. Below are their points per possession along with the rating of the defense they're doing it against. Offense has been Ohio's bigger problem this year. They're averaging 101.7/100 on an adjusted basis (250th). Defensively, they are more average allowing 105.4/100 (156th).
Opponent (Points per possession) - Defensive Points/100 (Rank)
CMU (1.10) - CMU allows 108.9/100 (233rd)
Akron (1.27) - Akron allows112.4/100 (298th)
WMU (0.85) - WMU allows 107.6/100 (203rd)
Toledo (0.99) - Toledo allows 110.5/100 (262nd)
Miami (1.12) - Miami allows 103.6/100 (126th)
Kent St. (1.26) - Kent St. allows 108.6/100 (226th)